roQQ boTTom sports

Has our hero hit rock bottom? He is hoping that his online sportsbook/poker accounts have hit bottom, but you can always go lower....They say that you have to hit rock bottom before you get help for an addiction, but if the addiction is profitable...

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Location: Cuba

Saturday, July 29, 2006

3rd in pokerroom Tourney

Well, my bet365 account is at about $3070 right now (I'm playing), but while I've been basically churning my account for the last few hours, I placed 3rd out of eighty-something in a $10 rebuy NLpokerrroom.com tournament, winning $187, and almost doubling my account. Meanwhile, the Tigers have taken the 1st 2 off the Twins, extending their dominance to 9-2 vs the so-called "hottest team in MLB."

Tuesday, July 25, 2006

Back to where I was...

Yesterday I won my way up to $2850, and today I inched my way up to $2879, which happens to be $1 less than where I was 3 0r 4 days ago. Wierd. Both of these days were choppy, and I started out down. Yesterday I won ALOT of my money from Stack 1 from a few posts ago. If she pays attention she will notice that

a.) When I have bad postion vs. Stack 1 I move.

b.) After I move I invariably take alot of Stack 1's stack.

Some players are aware enough to know when somebody is being circled, so to speak, and the ones who are can usually tell who the target is. So far Stack 1 has not demonstrated this sort of awareness, though she did say that I was getting too many good cards, and that I was winning too much. With her style of play whe tends to build a big stack, then gradually lose it back. I just try to get to where I will be a likely recipient.

Today I was losing at the $1-2 table, so I sat at an empty $.50-1 table, hoping to start up another game. The second player to sit down was pretty aggressive, and immediately won $25 or 30 from me. I seriously felt like I was getting raped by this guy, and I was considering giving up on this table altogether. It was starting to fill up though, so instead I moved to about 3 seats to this guy's left. Eventually I flopped a straight whith j8 in the big blind, and bet $2 up front. The other guy besides my new nemesis folded, but nemesis raised it to ten. I raised him two more times before he slowed down. I had $40 left when the turn put two hearts on the board. I was pot committed, and I figured he was too, so I went all-in, since I figured I'd make him pay on the off chance he was on a flush draw. He called me, and showed at, for top pair, top kicker, and I doubled up.

The other good sized pot I got from him was on my last hand. Nemesis was in the small blind (I had decided I wasn't interested in playing a hand once he was on the button, since I wanted position on this guy. I get ak of hearts and raise to $3. Nemesis is my only caller. The flop comes k hi, and he bets about $7 into me. This guy will play utter trash, so I really have no read on him. I call. He bets $23 or so on the turn, I call, and $31 on the river (approximately), I call. He shows 52(!) and I take his $$ and leave. I think he had a busted straight draw, but I don't remember the other cards. I was down until the final hand.

Well, it took me two days to win what I lost in one, showing the power of gravity once again. Meanwhile, the Tigers beat Cleveland 9-7, and are now 67-32. WORD.

Sunday, July 23, 2006

Tigers Lose/Win

Ugh. Lost my way down to $2747 today, or -$133. Meanwhile the Tigers lost to the A's, 9-5. Coincidence?...

Oooo! Day game--Detroit beats Oakland 8-4. Another series won vs. one of the good teams in the AL. By the time I manage to mention a loss, they've won again. Nice.

Saturday, July 22, 2006

roQQ boTTom in America...

Well, doubled up again with another pair of aces. I'll spare you the details. Was briefly over $3000, but am back down to $2880, still an $85 profit, and $120 from my stated goal. Meanwhile, The Tigers beat Oakland 7-4. If the Tigers can get a series off the A's it will be nice, since they could be the Tigers' first round opponent, and because they have had Detroit's number for a while, including the first half of this season. Now that the Tigers have started to beat quality teams they have finally reached the top of ESPN's power ratings. Of course, the White Sox' going 2-8 their last ten games sort of sealed the deal, as Chicago dropped to 4th in the power ratings, as well as behind the Red Sox in the standings. If the Yankees don't do it first, the surging Twins might pass Chicago for the wild card lead.

Meanwhile, the consensus in the 2+2 forum seems to be that this anti-internet gambling bill is dead in the water. Maybe I won't become a Canadian after all.

I am firmly convinced that the Toronto Blue Jays are being managed by retards. I'm not sure I'm up for rooting for them....

Go Tigers!

Friday, July 21, 2006

Again?

I get on today, I'm on the .50-$1 NL tables or about 10 or 15 minutes, when a seat on the $1-2 opens up. I get on, one before the button, and am dealt pocket aces! I'm hoping for some action, but everybody folds around to the guy in front of me, who raises up to about $12. I figure I don't want to scare him off, so I bump it to $22. One of the blinds calls (!) and so did the original pre-flop raiser. The flop comes king-high, and it's checked to me. The pot's like $66.50, and I raise it to $36. The blind folds, and the guy in front of me raises it to $72. I figure he's either got ak, kk, or something lower and he's really ballsy. I go all-in. I get called, show, he mucks, and I'm sitting on about $420.

That's three times in three days I've gone all-in with aa on either the flop or the turn, got called,
and won.

This isn't supposed to happen.

Big pairs are supposed to win small pots, and lose big pots. I mean, sure, you see this sort of thing in sit-n-gos, or in bigger tournaments when the stacks get short and the blinds get big. Cash games? What's the world coming to? Something tells me I need to transfer some of my $2790 or so over to PartyPoker and see what happens. Remember when I blamed 6-handed games for stealing all the fish? I think I was wrong. They're playing no-limit!

How long can this last? I need to run my roll up NOW before these clowns figure out how to play, AND before the government outlaws internet poker.

Go Argonauts!

Other than the three times I've had aa, gone all-in, and had a caller, I'm a net loser the last four days, to the tune of about $300. But these aces, and more importantly, these callers have me up about $300. See what I mean about losing my work ethic?

Meanwhile, the Tigers beat the White Sox 2-1. I'd post the standings again, but that could get tedious. This could be one of those pivotal days however. The Tigers now have a 5.5 game lead on the White Sox, their biggest of the season, and the White Sox are now tied with the Red Sox. Who knows? Maybe this is how the AL East will retain it's chokehold on the AL Wildcard. As long as I'm risking jinxes, something tells me the White Sox won't be on top of the ESPN power ratings anymore...

Go Canuks!

Thursday, July 20, 2006

Gravity Discovered by roQQ boTTom

Ugh. Lost a little over $100 today, leaving me a little over $2600. Can't complain, considering. I still intend to be over 3K by the end of the week. Hope I haven't just jinxed myself. I think victory through shoving makes me lazy, and laziness accounts for most of my losing today. Those who say that limit hold-em is a grind ought not underestimate the grind of no-limit. Days like yesterday can make me forget the patience required to overcome this and continue to grind my way upwards. 90% of the time the only place you can get to fast is the bottom. Gravity is a constant. Meanwhile, Detroit beat Chicago, 5-2. Go Tigers!

Detroit 63-31
Chicago 58-35
Boston 57-36
NYMets 56-38
*NYYankees 55-37

Everyone else

*Currenly will miss the playoffs.

Wednesday, July 19, 2006

Holy Crap!

I'm almost 2.5 hours into my standard 3 hour session right now, and something noteworthy has happened, so I am logging it.

I was on a .50-$1 table and a $1-2 table for a bit. I initially dropped $40 or so on the smaller table, but when the following hands came up I was up about $60-100 overall. Initially I hadn't liked my seat at the bigger game, since a stack about 3x the buy-in was 3 seats to my left, (Stack A) and soon after a seat with a fairly short stack that had doubled up calling an all in bet with 87s of all things, won some even bigger pots and worked that stack up to over $600 (Stack B). (The max buy-in was 200.) This stack was next to the other, only 2 to my right, so now I really didn't like my seat. I had already resolved to move to a better seat if one opened up, and this didn't hurt my resolve any.

Eventually I moved across the table to one 3 and 4 seats to the left of these guys. Much better. By the time these hands came up their stacks were more in the $300-400 range.

I picked up aces in late position, and had 3 limpers in front of me, so I raise up to $10. Two call, and I'm in last position. The flop comes 7h, 3d, qs, and it's checked to me. I throw out my continuation bet of $16, and Stack A raises me to $32. The other player was between us, and he folded. I called.

Now, before I had even joined this table, I had clocked Stack A, and, while I didn't have any notes on her (I've been bouncing from computer from computer since we're in the field, so my notes don't stick), I recalled that she liked to criticize the play of others, but her own play didn't strike me as particularly impressive. No obvious faults, but there you go. Since joining the table she had made two or three attempts to steal pots from me on the river. These would generally be pots where I checked the turn, and tended to be around $4 or 6, with a $22 to $26 pot. I would call, and she would show a busted gutshot. In some cases she had check raised the flop as well.

I didn't recall the check raises right then, but what I remembered were her weak bluffs. I considered check-raising only double my bet to be weak as well. I figured she could have a set, and her turn bet would let me know. (Retrospectively, I think if I was in Stack 1's position with a set I would have called, hoping for a call from the other hand, but I'm sort of counting on the likelihood that she is making less than optimal plays, so I don't know that this reasoning should have pushed me towards the conclusion that Stack 1 didn't have a set.)

The turn was 9h. Stack 1 checked. I thought a little bit, and went all-in ($208). I figure she's got a queen, maybe with a decent kicker, or at least has a piece of the flop and is hoping that I do not. I figure a set would try to massage the pot.

Stack 1 called. The river was 5c. I show aces, Stack 1 mucks. I win $513. Stack 1 still had $200 or so left, but immediately left the table.

After the hand the guy that folded to the check-raise informed me that he had 99, and would have called my bet if not for the check-raise. He was hoping for the third nine, or that I had missed. We were still talking about the hand when I was dealt aces again in the big blind.

Shit. I was regretting chit-chatting with that guy, since observant bettors might remember what I did the last time I had aces, since it was only 4 or 5 hands ago. On the other hand, who would expect me to have them again? By the time it got back around to me four others had limped in. I decided that since I had bad position this time I really shouldn't bet any less. I bet $10, with the difference that this made it $12 because of my blind. I decided that I would rather have everyone fold than lose half my stack because I didn't raise enough. This table was pretty loose.

I got one caller: Stack 2 as you may have guessed. The flop came 7h, 8s, 3h. I bet half the pot again, which worked out to be $16 again. Stack 2 raised me to $32.

Talk about deja vu. The main differences here were:

a.) an 8 on the flop instead of the q, but I never noticed that the 3 was in both until now, honestly
b.) one caller instead of two
c.) flop is more connected, possible straight draw, possible flush draw
d.) this time I am first to act
e.) this time I remember specific instances of poor play from my opponent

Unfortunately, the main poor play I remembered from Stack 2 was her calling an all-in bet with 87s. Call a $10 raise with 87s? Sure!

Anyway, this time there were alot more potential scare cards, and I really didn't feel like deciding if Stack 2 was bluffing on the later streets. I figured she was capable of more or less anything, certainly of calling my raise with cards that fit this flop, and perhaps of representing such without it. The other thing that influenced me here was the quickness of the raise. It wasn't quite a "Raise Any" type of auto-raise, but it was quick. It was the minimum amount possible, done with minimal thought.

Now, if I was sitting on a set, or top two pair, I would be weighing my options. Do I raise up to 3 times the initial bet, or is that too strong? Do I wait 'til the turn? Will the turn bring a scare card that will ruin my action? In other words, even if I decided to do the exact same thing, it would have taken me longer, so I am suspicious of Stack 2's holding. I reraise all-in for $513. i don't remember how long she thought, but she called, all-in for $159.

the turn was the 2h

the river was the 10h

Stack 2 shows 7s, 9d, for a pair of sevens.

Neither of us has a flush. I win $411, bringing my stack over $700. I am somewhat astounded by the weak holding (though only a rank and a suit away from the 87s I feared), but I guess she figured I had ak and she was ahead. I suppose my reraise all-in could have looked like some sort of desperation move. Maybe she figured I was banking on my past hand to scare her out of this one. Maybe she wasn't even paying attention to the other hand.

In the next 40 minutes I lost back a little over $100. This was not so bad, considering that I ran into two set-under-set situations (jjj vs. qqq, and ttt vs jjj)--the potential was there to lose MUCH more.

Many times I have changed positions to get to the left of a weak player, or, in NLHE, to get to the left of a big stack. In this case I was moving to the left of two big stacks, both of whom I regarded as bad players. I don't think I have ever seen results this sudden or decisive from such a move, however. I finished the day up $433, for a total of $2720. That is +$1170 since we went to the field. Too bad the government will make me an outlaw and I'll have to go underground. Go Leafs!

...I really think if I'd waited 'til the turn to decide what to do on the second hand I would've been pushed out, except that I may have gone all-in up front to avoid this!...I really think Stack 2 should have read me for an overpair. How many times have you seen an oversized bet with ak or aq? Sure, plenty. But how many times have you seen this kind of raise from the blinds with ak or aq? In No Limit? Players that do this always have pairs. Sometimes they will have 99 or tt, but usually it will be aa or kk. Check it out. Of course this was a horrible call, but I suppose it was better than calling an all-in bet preflop with 87s. At least he had a piece of the flop. And this is just the kind of terrible call I was hoping for when I went all-in.

Meanwhile the White Sox beat Detroit 7-1. At least I didn't have anything on this one.

Tuesday, July 18, 2006

Posting Wins & Losses/Oh Canada!

Since my current theory is that this blog can be of service to my poker game if I post my results, since doing this consistently could shame me into avoiding HUUUUGGGGEEEE losses, I will post my most recent few days wins and losses.

Friday: +300/-5.50--PokerStars SNG
Saturday: +450
Sunday: +50
Monday: N/A
Tuesday: -150

These amounts are approximate. I was considering betting on a baseball game a day as long as my streak held up, but I am not superstitious enough. It's hard not to believe that the better games are on the weekends, hence my success on the appropriate days. Obviously in the big scheme of things my Tuesday loss is no big deal. I was up about $50 or $60 on two tables, and lost $150 or so on two hands. One I had j9s, flopped a flush draw, made a pair of jacks on the turn, and trips on the river. I should have known by the bet sizes that someone probably had flopped a set and filled up on the river. Usually the board pairing stifles action. I should have known something was up when the guy ahead of me moved all-in in front of me. Heat of the moment, I guess.

The other hand I lost a nice chunk on I had pocket fours and flopped a set. (459, two spades)The pre-flop raiser led off with a $19 bet (.50-$1 blinds) and I called to try to keep the guy behind me in. He folded, and the pre-flop raiser checked the turn, a two. I figured the flush draw wasn't a big danger, unless he was leading off with ak of spades, but I didn't feel like getting too cute, so I bet $60, which was the rest of his stack. He thought for a while, then called. The river was a 3, which gave his aa a baby straight. He told me he was trying to decide if I had kk or a set, after he asked me if he'd sucked out. I let him know, but was civil. Shortly after I had to go to work.

I don't think I was tilting at all, but it has been my experience that even if you can accept losses, whether from a bad beat or your own mistake, you become quite vulnerable to frustration at that point. In no-limit this can be especially dangerous. Both times I have run up any kind of a roll on a site playing no-limit I have managed to lose it back VERY quickly. Hopefully posting losses will let me step away from the table when I am vulnerable, where I might not have before.

Unfortunately, the US government is gearing up to ban online gambling, which could make me an outlaw, in which case I really ought not post anything, until I move myself and my finances to Canada. Fuck you, Uncle Sam.

Meanwhile, I am looking forward to the immanent Tigers-White Sox series. Hopefully the Yankees' sweep of the Sox will leave them nice and vulnerable. Ick. I have alot of $$ invested in the White Sox this year. On the other hand, I have the Tigers at such long odds that I would actually make more if they won it all. You'll note I don't mention the Astros or Dodgers much, the other two teams I bet on this year. (I don't think I have mentioned until now that I even bet on the Dodgers. Well I did, after Gagne made his one save, and before he went back on the DL for the rest of the year. I still think the Dodgers are a decent bet, based on their run differential, but they would have been a MUCH better bet with Gagne. Oh well. This bet was SMALL.

Saturday, July 15, 2006

I lose on White Sox, win at NLHE

So I lost on the White Sox-Yankees game, as the Yankees won, 6-5. Meanwhile, my bet365 poker account swelled another 3 or 400 bux today. If this is what it takes, I'll donate to the baseball gods every day. Currently the Yankees are within 1.5 games of the Red Sox, who have lost three straight, while the White Sox sag to 3.5 games behind the Tigers. Since I am primarily invested in the Tigers and White Sox I'm not sure how I feel about this. Go Tigers!

I think I may have to try out a theory, which is this. If I regularly post my successes I may be able to stop myself from big losses by reminding myself that I will have to post by losses later. Unfortunately, I have simply stopped posting in the past. For instance, since I started this blog I have run my PartyPoker account up to over $3000, then rode it back down to nothing, but I probably never went into details....

Friday, July 14, 2006

Contreras vs. Johnson? You Bet!

Today I bet on the White Sox over the Yankees at 11-10 (bet 10 to win 11). The game is at Yankee Stadium, and you can get the Yankees at 10-13 (bet 13 to win 10). Jose Contreras is pitching against Randy Johnson. I figure if I can get the White Sox as a dog I should take it, especially when I like the pitching matchup. Contreras is 9-0 with a 3.38 ERA. Johnson is 10-7 with an ERA of 5.13. Randy Johnson may find a way to make me eat my words, but what the heck. Meanwhile my bet365 poker account is up to about $1950. It may be about time to put some of this onto another site. I'm thinking PartyPoker or Doyle's Room.

Wednesday, July 12, 2006

Head-Butt earns Respect

Well, I lost $20 on France* perhaps due to an ill-timed head-butt, but the French Captain may have gained countless fans across the Atlantic with his display of brutality. From what I can tell, the assorted NFL, NBA, and NHL fans in the new world would love to see this guy suit up over here as long as he kept it real and made some heads roll. We may not quite get soccer, but we do appreciate violence. Shit--maybe WWE or roller derby. I'm not too worried about my loss, since I have run my stake on bet365 poker up to $1800. Currently the Red Sox look tough enough to put my White Sox money in jeopardy, so this could end up being my first losing season betting on MLB futures. If they met in the ALCS I think the Red Sox would have a tougher time of it, but I think the White Sox are a bit more vulnerable in a short series. I still have money on the Tigers too, so we'll see where they fit into this when the smoke clears.

*roQQ boTTom must disclose that his judgement may have been impaired by the minute amount of French blood in his family. He still thinks France at 23-20 was a better bet than Italy at whatever the odds were. He believed that the game was a tossup, and since the game was decided on penalty kicks this seems to have been the case.

**Note that I never say Zidane through the entire post--not to mention whatever his first name is...yep, this is your Soccer handicapper talking--rQQbTT

Saturday, July 08, 2006

Vive la France!

Not that I'd advise anyone in any way on soccer, but I took France at 23-20 vs. Italy in the World Cup Final. I can't remember what the odds were on Italy, but they were favored. For what it's worth, I only bet on one NBA playoff game (Suns lost but covered vs. Mavericks) and last World Series only bet on which team would hit the first home run (Chicago did--1st inning game 1) so my record lately on similar events is good, if minimal.

Sunday, July 02, 2006

Mets not Cross-dressing Imposters

Earlier this year I expalined my reasons for betting on an undermanned Atlanta Braves team to win the NL East. In the process I compared the New York Mets to a 9th Avenue transvestite, i.e. looks great from behind or from a distance, but get a little closer and...Hey! Nice Adams apple! She's a man, man!

Well, as I watch the Mets play the last of their '06 Subway Series games, I must concede that the Mets are for real. They are not cross-dressing imposters. They lead the NL East by 11.5 games, and lead the St. Louis Cardinals by 4 games. They have the best record in the National league. But here's the thing.

Of course you know why I mention the St Louis Cardinals. For the last two years they have had the best record in the Major Leagues. Getting ahead of them is a big deal. But, as interleague play comes to a close, we can look back and see that the Cardinals were swept by the White Sox and the Tigers, and the Mets were swept by the Red Sox. As we speak the Yankees are about to salvage a split in the Subway series, leading 16-6, er...16-7 (Carlos Beltran just homered again) in the top of the 9th. In 15 games between the 4 best AL teams and the 2 best NL teams, the NL won three games. Three.

And you know why I mention four AL teams and only two NL teams. There are only two NL teams with a chance of competing with the AL's best. (Houston might also have a shot, but currently they are two games below .500, so I'm leaving them out, for now at least.) The NL, ladies and gentlemen, is weak.

So while I am long overdue to apologize to the Mets for comparing them to transvestites (this is it, the apology I mean) I'm not about to crown them Prom Queens. They may be a real girl, but Miss America they ain't.

No. They are one of those girls that in a few years will emerge as a fat Army wife. Not one who put on a few pounds after she popped out a few kids, but used to be hot either. I'm talking about the fat chick that never was hot, but was the first piece of ass Joe could find when he got out of Basic. At best, they are the cutest chick hanging out at the trailer park back home, or his high school sweetheart, whose first pregnancy was either unusually long, or unusually short, because nine months before Joe was eating Georgia red clay.

Army wives are a savy bunch, who know how to take advantage of opportunities as they arise. When competition is light, anyone has a shot. Fortunately for them, they will never have to face the eventual AL champ in a best-of seven series.

2004: Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals: Sox 4-0.
2005: Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros: Sox 4-0.

2006: ?

Personally, the White Sox over the Mets in four wouldn't surprise me.