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Has our hero hit rock bottom? He is hoping that his online sportsbook/poker accounts have hit bottom, but you can always go lower....They say that you have to hit rock bottom before you get help for an addiction, but if the addiction is profitable...

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Wednesday, December 31, 2008

BC line moves--the wrong way

It's halftime of whatever lame bowl Boston College is playing Vanderbilt in...The Music City Bowl? Great. That means it's a home game for Vandy, who lead until just before halftime, when BC scored to take a 7-6 lead. Not good enough to cover, but hey...I got BC minus 3 back on December 23. This morning the line had moved to four, and by gametime the line had jumped to six! I'll feel really good about this if BC wins by five--or four for that matter. Right now we all lose.

Accuscore had BC winning by an average of 21-16. I wonder if there are enough people following their line to move it like that. I suppose it's possible a few mammoth players are making it move. Makes me want to keep closer track of the spreads the rest of the way.

Speaking of which, the Ravens-Dolphins spread has moved to Ravens by 3.5. When I took the Ravens it was 3. The Colts-Chargers game opened as a Pick, but currently the Colts are favored by 2.

BC has lost their bowl game, and I'm surprisingly okay with it. It's just hard to care about losing to Vanderbilt. I wonder if the Boston College players share my apathy. BC had won something like nine bowl games in a row, but I contend that this is because they consistently get a weak draw.

Basically I'd be more excited if we played Iowa State in a bowl than Vandy. I think they were good once.

Sunday, December 28, 2008

Week 17 Pix

I have $$ down right now on newengland(-6)overBUFFALO, and BostonCollege(-3)overVanderbilt. I suppose I regret not taking New England last week (-8 over Arizona). When was the last time a division champ was an 8 point dog to a team that might not make the playoffs? New England won, 49-9, so apparently Vegas' confidence was not misplaced. I don't generally like to give much in divisional matchups, but the Pats are money, especially when they are playing for their playoff lives, which they are. I could have had the Pats at 5.5, but I waited too long. I also waited too long on the Raiders, who I could have had at +13 at Tampa Bay. Everyone and his brother must have bet that line, because it dropped to 11.


I'm not crazy about BC's offense, or lack thereof, but their defense is rock-solid. As for Vandy, they lost to Duke, 10-7. If they can lose to Duke by three, they can lose to Boston College by three. Duke doesn't suck as much as usual, but they still suck.

I've also taken Texas(-8.5)overOhioState. I wouldn't be surprised if Ohio State surprised me, so to speak, but I think the 'Horns have them outclassed. The Bucks need to hope the layoff has made Colt McCoy less sharp, because they're not going to stop anybody who has 80% completions.

I'm tempted to take Texas Tech giving 5.5 over Ole Miss. This is an intriguing matchup of the two teams that beat the teams playing in the BCS Ch--oh yeah, Texas didn't get into that game.

I just tried to pay for a half point to get Oklahoma +3.5, and discovered that it wasn't for sale, whereas, I got BC (-3) by paying for the half point. Makes me wonder how they decide which games to offer the extra points. I suppose they are too scared of a middle on a huge game like that.

The early games have ended, and the only one I took ended with New England on top, 13-0. If I'd known the Pats would only score 13 I wouldn't have taken them. Earlier I flipped between the history making Lions-Packers game, and the halfway meaningless Giants-Viking game. Basically I watched the Lions until it became painful, then watched the Giants until they got ahead 19-10.

I went back to the Lions when they were tied 14 all. I ended up watching the Lions' collapse, at the expense of the Giants' collapse.

Since I wasn't watching, I can'r really say that the Giants collapsed. Maybe the Vikes played their asses off. I did watch David Carr get the Giants the lead in the early 2nd half. He looked really good. In fact, he looked better than Eli Manning, to be quite honest. I knew it would bit e the Giants in the ass when they finished Carr's second drive with their fourth field goal, giving them a nine point lead. Even Donovan McNabb knows that a touchdown and a field goal can win the game for you if you are down by nine. Or a field goal and a touchdown, for that matter.

I shouldn't rip on Donovan, especially now that the Eagles have scored again, putting them up 24-3 just before the half. I think the Eagles will actually get in if that score holds up, since the Bucs lost to Oakland, and the Bears lost to Houston.

Ick. Dallas fumbled the kickoff and just gave up an extra field goal before halftime. I'm going to love listening to the Waco ESPN Radio tomorrow. It'll almost make up for not getting to listen after the Cowboys get thumped in the playoffs, since they won't be going.

In the far more competitive Jets-Dolphins game, the 'Fins just snapped the ball over their punters head, giving the Jets excellent field position, inside the 'Fin 30. The Jets trail 14-9.

The Jets just scored, and then converted for two, making up for the one they missed earlier. 17-14.

Sadly enough, I'm rooting for the Jets so the Patriots can make the playoffs. While the Dolphins are scrappy and fun to watch, and Brett Favre's rebirth in New York is great drama (especially if you like Operas...or soap operas) the Pats are the most dangerous of the three, making them the most interesting team of the three to see in the playoffs....

Sunday, December 07, 2008

I Pay-Per-View

Wow. I haven't written anything here for a couple of weeks. I went 2-2 on my last posted picks. The Giants covered at Arizona, 37-29 and Indy upset the Chargers at San Diego, 23-20. Meanwhile, Denver got destroyed by Oakland, 31-10, while Washington beat Seattle 20-17, just failing to cover the 3.5.

Last week I lost both games. Indy beat Cleveland, but only 10-6. They were favored by 5 or 5.5. Arizona let Brian Westbrook run wild, and Philly won, 48-20. The Eagles were favored by 3.

It's halftime of the early Sunday games right now (7 Dec--Pearl Harbor Day) and I still haven't bet on any games--except for newengland(-5)overSEATTLE, which I took as soon as I saw the line. A couple of days ago this game was off the board, and now it's Pats by 7.5. I guess it's because Matt Hasselback is listed as doubtful, with an injured back. I guess I got a bargain, but we'll see.

In games I, or anyone else gave a shit about, Virginia Tech handled Boston College, 30-12, and won their second consecutive ACC Championship. The game started as a pick, but by gametime BC was favored by 1.5. As soon as I figured out VT had a good, running quarterback, while BC's quarterback had only a couple of games under his belt, I knew we were probably fucked.

That's the game I cared about, though I was paying more attention to the SEC Championship game, where Florida came from behind to beat Alabama, 31-20, just covering the 10 point spread. I briefly considered taking 'Bama to win, which I believe had them as a 3-1 dog, but I didn't.

I really wanted to see Missouri upset Oklahoma, so Texas could backdoor their way into the BCS title game, but since they didn't, I guess I didn't mind seeing the Sooners hang 60 on the Tigers. Serves them right for not playng defense.

Actually, I didn't see much of it, because I threw down $55 for the Pay-Per-View of De La Hoya-Pacquiao fight.


New England won, but didn't cover, 24-21. Yay.