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Has our hero hit rock bottom? He is hoping that his online sportsbook/poker accounts have hit bottom, but you can always go lower....They say that you have to hit rock bottom before you get help for an addiction, but if the addiction is profitable...

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Location: Cuba

Sunday, March 24, 2024

Michigan State loses, but I win

 Went out yesterday to watch Michigan State-North Carolina, and while State lost, I had one of my best poker sessions in a long time.

This game was a 1-2 NLHE that played way bigger, due in part to regular straddles. I've seen multiple games like this, from Korea to Texas, so I guess this is what I 'm used to.

It didn't start out well. I got too attached to AJJT double suited in an early bomb pot (this club caps bomb pots at $200, at least limiting the damage one bomb pot can do) and pissed away a couple hundred more on other pots I didn't win, so I'd bought in for $600 before I'd won a pot.

The first big pot I was in I called a $15 or 20 raise in position with QJ off, and the flop came QT-rag. It checked around to me, and I bet about half the pot, getting out everyone but the guy to my right. I improved to two pair as a jack hit the turn, and I bet again, & he called. The river brought a king, and we both checked, as there were four to a straight on the board. Turns out he rivered a higher two-pair, with KJ. He had flopped an open-ended straight draw, and got runner-runner two-pair.

Looking back, I'm half-surprised that he didn't bet the flop, though many people don't bet their draws, and I'm pretty sure he didn't raise pre-flop, so he could have feared a check-raise.

A bit later a fairly aggressive player with a massive stack, a beard and a blue winter hat raised to $15, got at least two callers, and I peeked at QQ in late position, and bumped it to $55, getting three callers. The flop came ace-rag-rag, way too dry for me to not continuation bet. All three checked quickly to me, and I bet one stack of red ($100). This was slightly less than 1/2 the pot, while I tend to c-bet between half and 2/3 pot, but was still big enough that I expected it to get rid of anybody without an ace. I still didn't have much of a stack, but I think I still had enough that I probably wasn't going to shove on the turn if I got a caller with an overcard on the board. Nobody called, so I didn't have to decide.

I called another $15 or $20 raise in position pre-flop with 98s, and got a nine-high flop, the raiser led out for $30, and everybody but me folded. The turn was a ten, and he bet $50. The ten was an overcard to my nines, but probably the least scary one, as he is more likely to have AK or something. I called again. The river was a queen, so now I'm dealing with another overcard. I'm now losing to AQ, AT, and KQ for that matter, or even KT. I'm still beating AK, AJ, or KJ. He thought a bit, before betting $60. Based on his previous betting, If he thought he was ahead I expect more like $75 to 100, so I felt pretty good about my call. "You're good," he said, and mucked without showing. I perhaps should mention that my opponent's table image is a bit iffy. In the past he told me that he banned himself from the casino across the river, implying he has a gambling problem. Maybe he will ban himself from our poker club in the future as well? I get the impression he doesn't mind massive swings in his bankroll. While he lost that hand to me, he was a pretty massive winner yesterday. I think he won as much as I did in about half the time. While I am looking to exploit him, I think there are leakier spots at our table.

The hand that really built my stack came a bit later. I called a $20 raise with A8 of diamonds, and five or six of us saw the flop, which came 964 with two more diamonds. It checked around to me, and I bet $40 with one guy behind me. I got two callers, including the guy behind me. 

The five of diamonds hit the turn, giving me the nut-flush, though I double checked to see which cards on the board were actually diamonds, as the 456 would put a possible straight flush out there. For that matter, 965 would as well. The six was a heart, so I had the nuts, as long as another heart didn't fall, and the board didn't pair. I bet $85, and the guy to my left started counting his chips, telegraphing that if he called he was going all-in. After determining he had $190 he did exactly that. The other guy still in the pot snap called. Since seat nine's all-in was big enough to constitute a raise, I was now able to reraise, so I went all-in as well, the guy who still had chips called again. Since two of us were all-in, we could have agreed to run the river more than once, but nobody spoke up. It turned out that I had a total of $411, making the pot a little under $1500. The big stack had a king-high flush, and the all-in had a ten-high flush. I don't remember what the last card was, but they were both drawing dead.

The fortunate thing for me was that the first all-in had $190, so once the king-high flush called he was pretty much pot committed, as he only needed to call another $221, though the king-high is the one hand most likely to be willing to pay off even more.

The other memorable hand had blue hat raising pre-flop to $40, with me in the small blind with KK. I'm supposed to re-raise here, but I like to control the pot-size out of position, so I just called. The flop was pretty dry, & ten-high. I could go for a check-raise here, but that risked giving a free card, and would probably risk really bloating the pot, depending on who bet, so I led out for $50 or 60. I think I got two callers. I bet another $85 on the turn, and blue hat called while the other guy folded. The river was a queen. I considered going for a check-raise here, but decided it made more sense to value bet. I bet $125. Blue hat thought a bit, asked, "do you have aces or kings? That's the only thing that makes sense." 

"I might," I replied. Nice read on his part, though many players would expect me to raise pre-flop with that. I think there was a possible straight by the river, with QT8 on the board, but it didn't make sense for either of us to have J9. He called, I showed, and he mucked, so I still don't know what he had--maybe AK or AQ? If he has AK I don't see how he calls the river, so maybe AQ or an underpair?

What else? I had TT UTG in a rare, limped around pot, and raised to $10 or $12. At least five or six callers. I don't remember how much my c-bet was, but the flop was 8 or 9 high, ideal for TT, and I didn't ever have to show. Not sure which street the last guy folded on either. Overall, I caught boards with undercards yesterday when I had big pockets, other than flopping an ace with QQ.

As far as bomb pots went, I would catch the nut flush on the turn, only to have it fall to a boat, and get bailed out by my two-pair on the other board. Another nut flush was counterfieted by a second jack on the turn, then a second king on the river, but as it turned out, nobody had a king or a jack, so my flush still won that half of the pot. The other thing about this board is that with Omaha, a player still needs two cards in his hand in order to boat up, so this board isn't as dangerous as it looked. A player would need either the other KK, the other JJ, KJ, or a combination of the other card on the board with K or J, or a pair matching the other card. The kings and jacks on the board makes these possibilities less likely. Anyway, with our $200 cap rule, by the time the second pair hits the river you could already be committed.

I flopped a set of queens and trip nines in one bomb-pot, bet pot, and everybody else folded. Maybe I should have played it a bit slower, but cheap cards can get very expensive in Omaha.

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