roQQ boTTom sports

Has our hero hit rock bottom? He is hoping that his online sportsbook/poker accounts have hit bottom, but you can always go lower....They say that you have to hit rock bottom before you get help for an addiction, but if the addiction is profitable...

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Friday, October 27, 2023

 Pretty disgusting gambling week last week. From memory, I think the only things I got right were CINCINNATI(-3)over seattle (I think they won 21-17), and I took two out of three bets on Dallas at LAChargers, as I had dallas(-1.5), LACHARGERS(+2.5), and I bet the under live. As Dallas won. 20-17, I was never in much danger of the over hitting. I think I had 47.5 or 48.5.

If I was going to let my sharps talk me into the Chargers after I had originally taken Dallas, I should have also flipped from tennessee(+4) over BALTIMORE* to BALTIMORE(-4) over tennessee*, once I heard that the Ravens were travelling to London 2 or 3 days before the Titans, who were going pretty much at the last minute. I'm a big believer in jet lag, along with weather and altitude. Jet lag is real, people, and not to be taken lightly.

This week I went ahead and took lachargers(+6) over KANSAS CITY...actually I took that before the Monday Night game on a look ahead line, as I anticipated that line might drop if the Chargers beat Dallas. Their close loss must have impressed, because the line has dropped to 5.5. Given how close these teams have played each other in the Mahomes-Herbert era, I still would take the Chargers at +5.5.

Otherwise, at this point I've done three double under teasers. Unders came in heavy last week, as they have most of this season, and now we have several teams playing their backup QBs, so I expect this scoring deficit to continue. I teased the Jacksonville at New Orleans UNDER up to 46.5, bumping the paired lines to SAINTS(+4) and jaguars(+8). It looks like Trevor Lawrence is going to play, but between his sprained knee, Derek Carr's general malaise, and the Saints seeming inability to score more than 20 points, and this game seems unlikely to get to 47 points.

Likewise with Atlanta at Tampa Bay. Desmond Ritter is the punch line of a raft of jokes these days, and Baker Mayfield hasn't exactly gone wild either, even if he has outperformed our low expectations. I teased the under from 37.5 to 43.5, pairing it with atlanta (+8.5) and TAMPA B(+3.5). I haven't even gotten to the games with backups playing yet.

CHICAGO(+9), UNDER 44, and las vegas(+3), UNDER 44. Justin Fields is out. I'm not sure about Jimmy Garrapolo (sp), but he is a bum.

Tyrod Taylor vs. Sam Howell, which is to say, Washington at NY Giants(+3), o/u 37.5--this totally fits our criteria of teams we trust more to NOT score than to score. GIANTS(+9)/U 43.5, c-words(+3), U 43.5.

* London game, not a true home game for the Ravens.

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