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Has our hero hit rock bottom? He is hoping that his online sportsbook/poker accounts have hit bottom, but you can always go lower....They say that you have to hit rock bottom before you get help for an addiction, but if the addiction is profitable...

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Sunday, March 24, 2013

More Boston pix

After starting out 3-0 in games I piggybacked off of Alan Boston's picks, the wheels came off, and I ended the day 3-3.  I didn't bet any of the Saturday games, but today I got down on some more of his picks.

I stayed away from Temple vs. Indiana (woulda won) and UNC vs. Kansas (woulda lost).  I took Florida(-7.5) over Minnesota, (Fla 78-64, W) and La Salle(+4.5)over Ole Miss, (La Salle 76-74, W), but right now I am on my way to losing with Creighton(+5.5)over Duke.  Duke is up 11, early in the 2nd half.

Since AB said he believed that Miami would blow out Illinois, but thought the line (-8) was inflated, I went for a double tease, with Miami(-4), OVER 124.5, and Miami(-4), UNDER 132.5.  It was good that I teased the line down to four, since Miami won by only four.  Unfortunately, the final was 63-59, too low to get me two pushes.  So I got a push and a loss.

Duke game is over.  Duke covered easily, 66-50.  I basically went 2-2 with a push, but I bet more on the ones I won, so I ended up a little on the day.  I would have done a bit better if I had stayed away from Miami instead of freelancing.

Friday, March 22, 2013

In which I become Alan Boston's disciple

I've been so bad betting NCAA Mens basketball this year, that at this point I'm pretty much just betting Alan Boston's picks.  Here are the ones I've bet.

Temple(+4)over NC State small
LaSalle(+6)over Kansas State big
UCLA(+4)over Minnesota big
Creighton(-3.5)over Cincinnati medium
Iona (+14)over Ohio State medium
Northwestern State(+20.5)over Florida medium

In some of these Alan specifically gave a bet size, in other's I inferred a bet size from his language.  I previously teased OleMiss(+10)over Wisconsin, under 123.5.  As it happens, Alan loves Ole Miss(+6), big, which made me think my bet was pretty good as well, especially when I've also read that somebody has been trying to fake the over unsuccessfully, as everybody else continued to drive the number down.

At the moment, I'm made to think I made a good bet by the score, as Ole Miss leads Wisconsin 53-46, with about 1:30 to go.  I doubt they shoot enough free throws in the next :90 to score another 25 points.

I bet that game on Wednesday.  Not sure what the number moved to...& covers.com isn't showing it now.

Miami is already up, 22-10 on Pacific...I somehow forgot to bet that game (Pacific(+14)), perhaps because I think Miami is scary good.  Alan seems to like James Madison to cover vs. Indiana, and I haven't bet that one either, probably for the same reason.  If I end up down one unit after Pacific and JM cover, I'll have myself to blame.

On the other hand, the U is up 25-11, so I feel pretty good about being on the sidelines for those.

Temple is fucking NC State up, 38-22.  I think I had that in my bracket too, as opposed to UCLA.  I heard way too much Minnesota hype in the past week to resist the Golden Gophers, though I've been down on them all season long.  Minny advances in all 3 of my brackets, but now I'm big on UCLA.

The U is up 33-13.  Oof.

Ole Miss won, 57-46.  Even in losing by 11 the Badgers managed to keep the score down.  Congrats to them.

This is why I also parlayed Georgetown(-13.5)over Florida something or other...sort of.  Georgetown probably has the best defense in the country, and my reasoning is that if they cover it will be because they kept the score WAY DOWN.

Cincinnati juped out to a 6-0 lead over Creighton, but that lead has since been cut to 8-7.  This could be the first close game today.  Cincinnati deserves to lose for those gawdawful uniforams they've been wearing.  Ditto for Notre Dame, though they may come to their senses before they take on Iowa State.  I have to advance Iowa State in my bracket because one of their assistant golf coaches follows me on twitter, and because former Spartan Korie Lucious is playing for the Cyclones.

Of course, I have them losing to Ohio State the next round, but still.