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Has our hero hit rock bottom? He is hoping that his online sportsbook/poker accounts have hit bottom, but you can always go lower....They say that you have to hit rock bottom before you get help for an addiction, but if the addiction is profitable...

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Thursday, February 18, 2010

Three (or so) for Thursday

Yesterday I continued my ass-kicking ways. Here is a brief summary.

Miami led early against Duke, but eventually blew their lead, losing 81-74. Works for me, as I had Miami(+8).

I lost both of my bets on Louisville, as they failed to cover my parlay of the spread(-11) and the under(147), or my tease of them and the over (-6.5 and 142), though the total did go over, as Louisville won, 91-89.

New Mexico beat Wyoming, 83-61, covering the 20 point spread. Yay. 2-2 for me.

Missouri beat Texas, and covered the 3 point spread, 82-77, putting me at 3-2. Since I bet a bit less on my parlay, the night worked out a little bit better than this money-wise.

Tonight SOB is taking 3 home favorites, all of which I expected, since he loves to fade ranked dogs vs. unranked (or lower ranked) opponents. Sadly, I'm almost hoping for him to give me some more exotic bets, because I could have taken these ones myself. Apparently I have learned to fish, though perhaps not well enough to feed myself for a lifetime, so to speak.

Georgetown-Syracuse opened at Georgetown by one. It has moved to 1.5 or 2, but I paid the vig to get it back down to one. GEORGETOWN(-1)over syracuse. This pains me a little bit, as 'Cuse is probably my favorite school that I didn't attend. Furthermore, Georgetown is a bit inconsistent, and Syracuse just may have what it takes to pull off some Big East road wins and claim a top seed. I'm a little surprised the line moved against them, but the Hoyas are a pretty public team as well, thogh I suspect sharp $$ moved this line.

I've also taken OLE MISS(-3)over vanderbilt. This one troubles me a little bit as well, but the public knows Vandy is having a good year and will be on them, so of course the play is the other way.

I was a little surprised that Marquette was favored by 6.5 over Pittsburgh, and those big numbers make me nervous when two good teams are playing, so I've teased
MARQUETTE(-1.5)over pitt, over 128. Not sure why the total is as low as it is here. Usually when I'm puzzled like this the line goes way over...or way under.

I'm considering taking Wisconsin on the road at Minnesota. My read on these teams is probably exaggerated based on Michigan State's results against these teams, so I'm still thinking about it.

I've taken wisconsin(-1)over MINNESOTA. This totally goes against my policy regarding home favorites, but maybe this is the exception that proves the rule. Wisconsin is #3 in the Pomeroy Ratings, while Minnesota is #44. Is 41 spots enough to justify an 8 point gap?

Georgetown is getting killed right now. Of course they are.

I'm taking cal(-6)over OREGON STATE. I want to tease this down to 2, or 1.5, but Cal games are so high scoring, and Oregon State's are so low scoring, I feel like this total could be really tough to pick. On second thought...I think I'll try a tease and a parlay. cal(-6), over 132, (the parlay), and cal(-1), under 137 (the tease). I figure I have a good chance of winning one of these, and a slight chance of winning both, though my bets on Kentucky-Mississippi State were lucky to break even.

Georgetown made a furious comeback, but ultimately lost, 75-71. Ole Miss blew their early lead, and fell to Vandy, 82-78. So I'm 0-2 so far tonight.

Marquette is up 8-4 on Pitt, with 13:55 to go in the 1st half. If this keeps up I'm going to wish I'd teased the under, instead of the over. I need another 117 points.

Wisconsin had an early lead, but now trail Minnesota, 14-8. Shit.

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