160? 160?!?????
I've taken the under in Notre Dame(+5) at Seton Hall. Under 160. Both teams have had a couple of high scoring games, but I still see no reason the number should be this high. After I eat some crab cakes (since my wife has interrupted me with such mundane considerations) I will scour the lines for more bargains.
I've teased louisville(-1)over ST JOHNS, over 135. The number went from 139 to 140 while I was thinking about it, so I'm not the only one who likes the over here. This could be a letdown game for the Cardnails, who have Syracuse coming up on Sunday, but I still like them giving one, instead of 6.
The weasels at bodog have only posted totals for three 7:00 games tonight, the other being Michigan(+8.5) at Minnesota. Michigan sucks, but they are much better vs. the spread of late than the Gophers. The number (130) seems about right to me, settling in between Minnesota's games in the 130-150 range, and Michigan's defensive struggles.
Washington seems to be about as night & day as anybody I've seen, winning most of the time at home, but losing on the road. The Huskies are on the road at Cal tonight. I trust Washington...to lose. I've teased CAL(-1), under 162. Since Cal games have been consistently going under, and 15 of Washington's last 21 have gone over, I'm guessing that a lower scoring game favors Cal. That's why I'm also parlaying CAL(-5), under 158. This combo of bets worked last night for Duke vs. UNC, so what the heck.
The other thing to do would be to parlay Washigton on the moneyline with the over, the inverse side of the reasoning for my other parlay. Cal and the under pays 2.65/1. The Wash moneyline parlayed with the over pays 4.23 to one.
Louisville trails St. John's, 33-25, about a minute into the 2nd half. Even if Louisville comes back, the over doesn't look too promising.
On the other hand, Seton Hall is up, 57-47 on Notre Dame, with 16:50 to go, so the over looks increasingly likely here...where I bet the under. While I don't like Washington to win on the road, I think I'll parlay washington(+180), over 158, as a hedge. I don't much trust my judgement at the moment, so I suppose you shouldn't either.
Apparently Seton Hall & ND were both in the 30's with less than 2 to go in the 1st half, so I'm not sure what induced their scoring spree. This makes their shootout that much harder to take. Fuck.
I've teased louisville(-1)over ST JOHNS, over 135. The number went from 139 to 140 while I was thinking about it, so I'm not the only one who likes the over here. This could be a letdown game for the Cardnails, who have Syracuse coming up on Sunday, but I still like them giving one, instead of 6.
The weasels at bodog have only posted totals for three 7:00 games tonight, the other being Michigan(+8.5) at Minnesota. Michigan sucks, but they are much better vs. the spread of late than the Gophers. The number (130) seems about right to me, settling in between Minnesota's games in the 130-150 range, and Michigan's defensive struggles.
Washington seems to be about as night & day as anybody I've seen, winning most of the time at home, but losing on the road. The Huskies are on the road at Cal tonight. I trust Washington...to lose. I've teased CAL(-1), under 162. Since Cal games have been consistently going under, and 15 of Washington's last 21 have gone over, I'm guessing that a lower scoring game favors Cal. That's why I'm also parlaying CAL(-5), under 158. This combo of bets worked last night for Duke vs. UNC, so what the heck.
The other thing to do would be to parlay Washigton on the moneyline with the over, the inverse side of the reasoning for my other parlay. Cal and the under pays 2.65/1. The Wash moneyline parlayed with the over pays 4.23 to one.
Louisville trails St. John's, 33-25, about a minute into the 2nd half. Even if Louisville comes back, the over doesn't look too promising.
On the other hand, Seton Hall is up, 57-47 on Notre Dame, with 16:50 to go, so the over looks increasingly likely here...where I bet the under. While I don't like Washington to win on the road, I think I'll parlay washington(+180), over 158, as a hedge. I don't much trust my judgement at the moment, so I suppose you shouldn't either.
Apparently Seton Hall & ND were both in the 30's with less than 2 to go in the 1st half, so I'm not sure what induced their scoring spree. This makes their shootout that much harder to take. Fuck.
posted by roQQ | 3:15 PM
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