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Has our hero hit rock bottom? He is hoping that his online sportsbook/poker accounts have hit bottom, but you can always go lower....They say that you have to hit rock bottom before you get help for an addiction, but if the addiction is profitable...

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Saturday, February 06, 2010

Ivy loss, Pac 10 win, Saturday picks

I haven't found a use for this link yet, though I may mail it to some of my politico associates at some point. Leaving the window open may be one of the things slowing down my computer, so it has to go.

SportsObjective picked yale(+21.5)over CORNELL on Friday. I couldn't help tweaking his pick, and took yale(+21.5),under 140. Yale covered, losing 90-71, leaving the under high and dry. My teases have won me a couple of bets SOB lost, so I figure I was due to lose a teaser that I would have won.

On the other hand, with no guidance from Sports Objective, I teased arizona(+14), over 148 on Thursday. The Wildcats came through, losing but covering at Washington, 81-75, so I would have won without the tease as well. I'm a bit surprised SOB missed this one, since he recommended the 'Cats against Cal last week, and they came through there as well.

SOB has just posted his early Saturday picks. While he's only talking about Wisconsin at Michigan, his remarks regarding the Wolverines are link-worthy, at least for green bleeding Spartan alums like myself. Of course, I do have a soft spot for Michigan hoops since my cousin was on the '89 NCAA Champion team, though the collective arrogance of the Fab 5/4 helped me recover my hatred for the Wolverines. (It probably doesn't help my case that I still have a soft spot for Jalen Rose, not to be mistaken for a man-crush, mind you...good to see him on ESPN these days....Where was I?)

Anyway, his Wisconsin at Michigan paragraph ends with "basically, Michigan sucks." His words, not mine. The fact that the Badgers just housed Michgan State probably has me respecting them a little too much, but what the heck. Both these teams tend to have low scoring games, and the total is around 116, but bodog is having techincal difficulties that are preventing me from checking recent totals for these teams, so I'm not teasing this one.
wisconsin(pick)over MICHIGAN. Michigan opened as a point favorite, but some places they are already a point dog. Am I getting a bargain? Maybe.

SOB is taking RICHMOND(-1)over temple. I'm intrigued by the total of 114, basically because I haven't found much data to support a total this low. I like the over enough that rather than tease it, I'm going to parlay it--RICHMOND(-1.5) over 114. Or am I? The line has moved...back to one. Good. RICHMOND(-1) over 114.

SOB has taken UNLV(-1)over byu, and I am following suit. I don't know if there's a rule that teases make the most sense when they drop a line to one or even, as teasing a football line from 6 0r 7 down to even or one does, but I am avoiding teases in these games with tight lines due to that sort of reasoning.

While not going so far as to recommend GEORGETOWN(-1.5)over villanova, SOB has expressed interest in this one, and I was eyeing it before his blog posted, so give me the #8 Hoyas over the #2 Wildcats, or whatever generic mascot 'Nova has. Crap. The line moved to two. Lets make that a tease. GEORGETOWN(+3) over 145. These teams score enough that the times the total goes under is when the over is 166 or 167.

SOB likes to bet unranked home favorites over ranked road dogs, but still feels iffy about MEMPHIS(-5)over gonzaga. I almost always feel iffy, and these teams score bucketloads of points...and Memphis is a long road trip from Spokane, or wherever the Bulldogs hang their hats, so...MEMPHIS(-0.5) over 140.

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