Handicapping Zombie?
Sports Objective finally picked up a win, aftetr a recent skid, taking
MIAMI(+1)over georgia tech. By the time I took the game, Miami was favored by 1.5. I paid some more vig to get the line down to MIAMI(-1)over georgia tech. The U came through,
64-62, so I guess I didn't need to get it down to one. On the other hand, I feel justified in paying the vig in this, given how close the score came to the number, and how close the number was to zero.
Meanwhile, I've made two bets on the hated Duke Blue Devils and the under against North Carolina. I've parlayed duke(-6), under 155, and I've teased duke(-1), under 159. While I expect this game to be fairly high scoring, due to the rivalry, if not for the abilities of the teams in question, but 155 to 159 seems to be on the high end of what we can expect from these teams. UNC has taken a spectacular dive from last years pinnacle, so I suppose I'm counting on the Heels to hit a cold streak and get behind by a comfortable margin, keeping the total down.
Oh yeah. the over came in on State-Purdue, the 76-64 final score just edging the 139. Yay. I feel like I can be objective about totals in Michigan State's games, even if my biases screw with me on the spreads. Worked out this time, if barely. The sad part is that If I'd teased this game the over and the under both would have worked, but I will screw up the line, unless I just start fading State every time. They are awful vs. the spread this year.
Right now it is 20-20, 6:54 to go in the first half. The Tar Heels need to back the fuck off.
I've also taken baylor(-3)over NEBRASKA. I don't like to make a habit of taking road favorites...on the other hand, Baylor beat Texas as a road dog a week and a half ago. I suppose living halfway between Austin and Waco may be magnifying certain results in my mind.
Egad. Nebraska is up 27-23 at halftime. Plenty of time left, but usually in games like this the favorite barely catches up, if they do at all. At least 3 is close enough that a couple of possessions could swing it.
Duke is up, 28-27 at the half. Good for a push and a loss. The under looks golden though.
I've been late with my posts lately, in part because I generally can't check the lines until just before the games, and because I've been watching season one of dollhouse. I watch human husks get filled and emptied, while I gain picks from Sports Objective. Will I gain enough handicapping enlightenment to evolve into a self sufficient sharp? Or will I slowly devolve into a gambling zombie?
Ugh. Baylor won, but didn't cover, 55-53. On the other hand, Duke won my tease and my parlay, 64-54. The over never came close. The sad part is, before I decided to tease & parlay the under, I was toying with the over. My theory that the ultra competitive games tend to be higher scoring took a hit, as Duke & Carolina scored a whopping 118 points.
Taking favorites is no way to go through life. Tonight I've been whistling past the graveyard with the favs. Tommorow the wheels could come off.
MIAMI(+1)over georgia tech. By the time I took the game, Miami was favored by 1.5. I paid some more vig to get the line down to MIAMI(-1)over georgia tech. The U came through,
64-62, so I guess I didn't need to get it down to one. On the other hand, I feel justified in paying the vig in this, given how close the score came to the number, and how close the number was to zero.
Meanwhile, I've made two bets on the hated Duke Blue Devils and the under against North Carolina. I've parlayed duke(-6), under 155, and I've teased duke(-1), under 159. While I expect this game to be fairly high scoring, due to the rivalry, if not for the abilities of the teams in question, but 155 to 159 seems to be on the high end of what we can expect from these teams. UNC has taken a spectacular dive from last years pinnacle, so I suppose I'm counting on the Heels to hit a cold streak and get behind by a comfortable margin, keeping the total down.
Oh yeah. the over came in on State-Purdue, the 76-64 final score just edging the 139. Yay. I feel like I can be objective about totals in Michigan State's games, even if my biases screw with me on the spreads. Worked out this time, if barely. The sad part is that If I'd teased this game the over and the under both would have worked, but I will screw up the line, unless I just start fading State every time. They are awful vs. the spread this year.
Right now it is 20-20, 6:54 to go in the first half. The Tar Heels need to back the fuck off.
I've also taken baylor(-3)over NEBRASKA. I don't like to make a habit of taking road favorites...on the other hand, Baylor beat Texas as a road dog a week and a half ago. I suppose living halfway between Austin and Waco may be magnifying certain results in my mind.
Egad. Nebraska is up 27-23 at halftime. Plenty of time left, but usually in games like this the favorite barely catches up, if they do at all. At least 3 is close enough that a couple of possessions could swing it.
Duke is up, 28-27 at the half. Good for a push and a loss. The under looks golden though.
I've been late with my posts lately, in part because I generally can't check the lines until just before the games, and because I've been watching season one of dollhouse. I watch human husks get filled and emptied, while I gain picks from Sports Objective. Will I gain enough handicapping enlightenment to evolve into a self sufficient sharp? Or will I slowly devolve into a gambling zombie?
Ugh. Baylor won, but didn't cover, 55-53. On the other hand, Duke won my tease and my parlay, 64-54. The over never came close. The sad part is, before I decided to tease & parlay the under, I was toying with the over. My theory that the ultra competitive games tend to be higher scoring took a hit, as Duke & Carolina scored a whopping 118 points.
Taking favorites is no way to go through life. Tonight I've been whistling past the graveyard with the favs. Tommorow the wheels could come off.
posted by roQQ | 6:03 PM
1 Comments:
lol yeah i've been suckin
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