Gophers flogged by 'Cats / Trojan night?
I won my NORTHWESTERN(pick)over minnesota bet, as the Wildcats won, 77-74. When I bet, some sites had moved to minnesota(-1), as I expected, but by gametime the line had moved back to a pick on most sites, except for a few that had NORTHWESTERN(-1), including bodog. So apparently the $$ that came in agreed with me. I'm a little surprised by this, as I thought the Gophers would get a bit more respect than they deserved.
I've made two bets on the UCLA-USC game. In Chad Millman's blog, Alan Boston recommended USC in this game, though he made no mention of the 7 point spread. I've parlayed
USC(-7), under 119, and I've teased USC(-2), over 114. These bets hedge each other a bit. I figure that the Trojan defense gives them the best chance to cover the spread in a low scoring game. Checking their results, however, I've found that most of their games are higher scoring than the 119 total, so with my tease I've gone the other way. I figure I'll cover one or the other, unless UCLA wins outright. The Bruins were trounced at home the last time these two played. This makes me a little concerned that UCLA will play a bit over their heads to split the series, and I'm not sure how big the home court andvantage will be for USC, given that these two teams play in the same city.
Alan Boston was also completely wrong on his other pick today, as Syracuse was upset by Louisville, though he was right to guess that the game could be low scoring. The 66-60 final score was well under the o/u of 148. Having read Millman's book "The Odds," where Boston was one of the main characters, I have the impression that he tends to run hot-cold, though he tends to bet so many games that he could be doing great overall, yet lose both of these, or vice versa.
I've made two bets on the UCLA-USC game. In Chad Millman's blog, Alan Boston recommended USC in this game, though he made no mention of the 7 point spread. I've parlayed
USC(-7), under 119, and I've teased USC(-2), over 114. These bets hedge each other a bit. I figure that the Trojan defense gives them the best chance to cover the spread in a low scoring game. Checking their results, however, I've found that most of their games are higher scoring than the 119 total, so with my tease I've gone the other way. I figure I'll cover one or the other, unless UCLA wins outright. The Bruins were trounced at home the last time these two played. This makes me a little concerned that UCLA will play a bit over their heads to split the series, and I'm not sure how big the home court andvantage will be for USC, given that these two teams play in the same city.
Alan Boston was also completely wrong on his other pick today, as Syracuse was upset by Louisville, though he was right to guess that the game could be low scoring. The 66-60 final score was well under the o/u of 148. Having read Millman's book "The Odds," where Boston was one of the main characters, I have the impression that he tends to run hot-cold, though he tends to bet so many games that he could be doing great overall, yet lose both of these, or vice versa.
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