Picking with a Plunger

Well, my NFL betting so far this season has gone atrociously. As atrociously as Notre Dame's season? Not quite. Close enough, though. Partly it's just been timing. Week one I announced my strategy of picking mostly underdogs. After my poor showing I abandoned my strategy, after which underdogs went something like 12-3-1 against the spread in week two. I went for the favorites, and went 1-3. Last week I did the sensible thing, and didn't bet at all. Not sure how the 'dogs did, but it probably was not bad.

This week I've put approximately zero time into picking. Right now I'm resorting to teasing games to get back on track (possibly not the best way), so I'm taking newengland and the OVER against CINCY, which after a 6 point tease has the Pats by two, with an over of 48. The 54 over/under limne on bodog is inflated from 52 on Mansion, which makes taking 60 as the under a bit tempting, but I expect the Bengals to score points at home, so the under seems a little dangerous.

(Unfortunately, Mansion doesn't let you tease games; maybe the Brits haven't figured out teases yet. Not quite sure how you'd work teases with soccer, though with rugby it seems to make sense. Anyway, in order to tease I'm forced to move over to bodog, where my bankroll is practically non-existant, so my bets are embarassingly tiny. So be it. I just want to see a win.)

I tried to tease INDY and the over against denver, since the over of 48 seems a little modest, at least compared to the Pats-Bengals game, but bodog says that game can't be teased. I think they allow it closer to game time, but I'll probably forget to do it. That's why I teased the Colts and Cowboys instead. I have COLTS(-3)overbroncos, and COWBOYS(-7)overrams. I won't bore you with any analysis, because currently we have no reason to think you have any business listening to me.