My Picks not as bad as Notre Dame
Of the seven games I identified last week as having excessive action in one direction on the Mansion Exchange, the public was right in 3 cases, wrong in three others, and pushed once, as the Washington Redskins tied the spread as they won the game, with a field goal in overtime. So much for using public opinion as a barometer. As for the games I bet on, I went 4-8. I went 1-2 when I bet on favorites, so I went 3-6 when I took dogs. Consistently bad, I guess. At this point I am ready to give up on my "system" of taking mostly dogs. So much for my conviction, if you want to call it that.
On the college front, Michigan did the classy thing, and stopped scoring on Notre Dame once they were up 38-0. As for Notre Dame, they haven't scored since the third quarter against Penn State. UCLA got embarassed by Utah 44-6, and Louisville choked against Kentucky, 40-34. The Bruins were favored by 16, the Cardinals by 4.5.
Michigan State wil be favored over Notre Dame next week, but by how much? They were favored over Pitt by 12, but only won by 4, 17-13. My guess is that State will be favored by between 7 and 9.5. It could be more, but I oddsmakers ought to respect State's inability to cover against Pittsburgh, just as they will respect Notre Dame's inability to score. It could be a bit less; I overlooked the fact that Notre Dame will be at home. Of course, State has fared rather well at South Bend in the recent past, so....
Boston College was a 7 point dog at Georgia Tech, but emerged with a 24-10 victory. ESPN seemed to believe that this game would come down to whether or not BC's offensive line could give their quarterback enough time to throw. Apparently they did--he threw for 400+ yards. I had a feeling that this was code for "bet the farm on BC." After all, what is BC known for these days besides beefy linemen, both on offense and defense? (Not to mention beefy power forwards....No, I'm not fishing for "point-shaving scandals," why do you ask?)
Anyway, the last time both of my schools were favored over Notre Dame was probably at least 4 or 5 years ago (or hockey season...or basketball season...) This feels wierd. I like to feel like I've accomplished something when State beats Notre Dame, even if I've done nothing to contribute beyond drinking beer while I watch TV.
Speaking of accomplishing nothing, on to my picks for NFL week 2.
dallas(-3.5)overMIAMI Miami is one of the few teams that seems to be about as good as I thought they would be--rotten, in this case. I love Dallas for this game. I still haven't taken the fantasy football plunge, but I suspect that I love the Cowboys players for fantasy this week too.
seattle(-3)overARIZONA As long as I'm flouting my plan to bet on dogs (home dogs at that) I may as well get my money in against the Cards.
CHICAGO(-12)overkansascity I'm counting on KC to make the Bears look good and give their fans hope. If I knew the Chiefs would make such a quick move towards the bottom I wouldn't have bet on them last week. Probably won't be the last time I say that.
Which reminds me, cincinnati(-7)overCLEVELAND Either the Browns suck this year or the Steelers are AWESOME. Mostly I'm leaning towards the former.
I'm tempted to tease Cincy along with the Colts, but so far I haven't figured out how to do this on Mansion, and I need to get some sleep.
On the college front, Michigan did the classy thing, and stopped scoring on Notre Dame once they were up 38-0. As for Notre Dame, they haven't scored since the third quarter against Penn State. UCLA got embarassed by Utah 44-6, and Louisville choked against Kentucky, 40-34. The Bruins were favored by 16, the Cardinals by 4.5.
Michigan State wil be favored over Notre Dame next week, but by how much? They were favored over Pitt by 12, but only won by 4, 17-13. My guess is that State will be favored by between 7 and 9.5. It could be more, but I oddsmakers ought to respect State's inability to cover against Pittsburgh, just as they will respect Notre Dame's inability to score. It could be a bit less; I overlooked the fact that Notre Dame will be at home. Of course, State has fared rather well at South Bend in the recent past, so....
Boston College was a 7 point dog at Georgia Tech, but emerged with a 24-10 victory. ESPN seemed to believe that this game would come down to whether or not BC's offensive line could give their quarterback enough time to throw. Apparently they did--he threw for 400+ yards. I had a feeling that this was code for "bet the farm on BC." After all, what is BC known for these days besides beefy linemen, both on offense and defense? (Not to mention beefy power forwards....No, I'm not fishing for "point-shaving scandals," why do you ask?)
Anyway, the last time both of my schools were favored over Notre Dame was probably at least 4 or 5 years ago (or hockey season...or basketball season...) This feels wierd. I like to feel like I've accomplished something when State beats Notre Dame, even if I've done nothing to contribute beyond drinking beer while I watch TV.
Speaking of accomplishing nothing, on to my picks for NFL week 2.
dallas(-3.5)overMIAMI Miami is one of the few teams that seems to be about as good as I thought they would be--rotten, in this case. I love Dallas for this game. I still haven't taken the fantasy football plunge, but I suspect that I love the Cowboys players for fantasy this week too.
seattle(-3)overARIZONA As long as I'm flouting my plan to bet on dogs (home dogs at that) I may as well get my money in against the Cards.
CHICAGO(-12)overkansascity I'm counting on KC to make the Bears look good and give their fans hope. If I knew the Chiefs would make such a quick move towards the bottom I wouldn't have bet on them last week. Probably won't be the last time I say that.
Which reminds me, cincinnati(-7)overCLEVELAND Either the Browns suck this year or the Steelers are AWESOME. Mostly I'm leaning towards the former.
I'm tempted to tease Cincy along with the Colts, but so far I haven't figured out how to do this on Mansion, and I need to get some sleep.
posted by roQQ | 7:28 AM
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