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Has our hero hit rock bottom? He is hoping that his online sportsbook/poker accounts have hit bottom, but you can always go lower....They say that you have to hit rock bottom before you get help for an addiction, but if the addiction is profitable...

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Tuesday, August 12, 2014

Line updates & cancellations

Early this morning, I checked the odds on 5dimes for Porter over Brook, and found that they had moved to (-210), from (-280) or so.  After looking around for injury news, &/or anything else that would explain this big of a line move, I guessed that British money had moved the line, since they are up before us, and since 5dimes is a European site.  My guess seemed a bit more reasonable, given that the bovada line was still at (-270) or (-280).

Meanwhile, Sara McMann over Lauren Murphy had moved from (-300) to (-320).  My intent had been to bet some more on McMann, since I consider her my strongest play this weekend, but decided to parlay her with Porter, given that his cheaper price more than made up for her move in the other direction--Porter(-210)/McMann(-320) pays about (-120).  

Currently Porter's odds have stabilized to (-225) on 5dimes, and (-250) on bovada.  McMann's odds continue to climb, at (-325) on bovada, and (-335) on 5dimes, so you won't get the price I got, at least not right now.

While I think I was correct that British $$ moved the Porter line, I don't know why the move happened when it did, or why it was so big and swift.

Speaking of swift, 5dimes has already paid me back the $$ I had on Jones-Cormier, giving me about twice as much that isn't in play...yet.  To be fair, in this case bovada would have as well, since the fight is rescheduled for a date in 2015, unlike Fury-Chisora, which is rescheduled for 22Nov.

Odds are beginning to post for that fight, but it looks like they haven't moved much from where they were. So I won't be getting any value from bovada holding my $$...(really thought Fury would be closer to 1/3 on the new date) I will probably load up on Fury again, but my suspicion is this fight will get postponed again to 2015.


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