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Has our hero hit rock bottom? He is hoping that his online sportsbook/poker accounts have hit bottom, but you can always go lower....They say that you have to hit rock bottom before you get help for an addiction, but if the addiction is profitable...

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Friday, July 04, 2014

World Cup Quarterfinals Day I

Germany did everything I needed them to in their elimination game vs. Algeria...they just did it too late.  I had several bets and parlays on the Germans, including Germany(-300)over Algeria, Alexis Davis/Ronda Rousey UNDER 2.5 rounds(-310), and the same bet with UNDER 2.5 rounds(-350).  These would have paid about 5/7.  Instead, they are already dead, because Algeria held off Germany for the first 90 minutes.

I could have bet Germany to advance, but that paid considerably worse, about 1/8 before parlays.

After losing on the Brazil-Chile OVER, I rattled off ML wins on Holland, Costa Rica, and Colombia.  I would have won betting France on the ML, but I parlayed them with Germany, who took too long for a decision.

The parlays I lost on Germany probably add up to the most I've lost on a team sporting event.

Today I have Colombia ML(+393), and Colombia-Brazil draw(+266).  Combined, these offered a much better price than Colombia(+.5), which is now (+119), and was less, as evidenced by the fact that the Colombia ML has moved to (+409), and the draw has moved to (+283).  I may have to bet these again.

I also now have a bet on Colombia to win it all at 12/1.  If they go through against Brazil they will be a cheaper hedge on Germany (now up 1-0 on France at the half) than betting the field over Germany.  I also think they have been in better form than Brazil, so far, though they haven't had to play anybody as good as Brazil either.  The step up in competition hasn't helped France so far, who still trail Germany, a little into the 2nd half.


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