Reprobate gets me split / Ruminations on the NFL
A late TD got called back, so Stanford beat Notre Dame 37-14, covering the 5 point spread (and my teased (+1.5), but missing my teased OVER(53.5) by 2.5 points. Shoulda bet Stanford straight up. Shoulda woulda coulda.
Jeremiah Masoli (aka that rebrobate transfer QB) led Ole Miss to a 55-38 win over Fresno State. I'm not sure how much credit the delinquent star deserves. He went 8 for 12 for 153 yards and 2 TDs, and ran for another 59 yards on 8 carries. At the moment I can see his appeal. Ole Miss wins a game, and I win $$. We'll see how he does against 'Bama and LSU.
Either way, lets not pretend that Mississippi sold it's soul when Houston Nutt decided to take a flier on Masoli. Winning is everything in the NCAA, especially in the SEC, where they don't have as much in the way of academic standards to confuse issues.
According to covers.com, most of the action has been on
detroit(+11)over MINNESOTA. They also say the line opened at 10.5, which may make you wonder how the number rose, if the action has been on the dog. My guess is that the initial action, probably sharp money, was on the favorite. Having said that, I wouldn't be surprised if sharp money has been on Detroit since the line moved, and the books just don't want to move the line back. Covers also says most of the action has been on the OVER, and they also say that has moved from 42 to 42.5. On bodog it's 43. I don't think you can count on Minnesota to fail to score against the Lions. On the other hand, they haven't put up any points yet, so I think I'll stay away from the number, but I'll take the Lions, whether the smart $$ is on them or not. Much of the above is probably me trying to convince myself that I'm betting with the sharps, and not just riding the wave of Jahvid Best hype. As a double owner of the latest fantasy stud, and a Lion fan, this homerism is hard to fight off.
After watching the Lions the last two weeks while in Michigan (and actually enjoying it, despite the losses) I'm tempted to head to Pluckers if I can't find the game on TV. Why? Because I'd like to see Ndamukung Suh take Brett Favre's head off. Check for the highlights of him taking down Michael Vick if you think this is a long shot.
Eyeing the vig, it looks like there is a chance that the line will move to 11.5, so it looks like I'll wait until tomorrow morning to bet this one.
There is hardly a more public team than the Pittsburgh Steelers, 2.5-3 point favorites at Tampa Bay. Since bodog has the larger 3 point spread, the action there is tilting towards the Bucs. The public is surely aware that one more Steeler QB got injured last week. Give me the points, and the stable QB situation. TAMPABAY(+3)over pittsburgh.
Did I say before that I was taking KANSASCITY(+3)over sanfrancisco? Well I am. And fuck Todd Haley in advance when he screws me with his coaching stupidity. Can I trust the 'Niners to blow a must win game? Do they still have must win games in the NFC West?
I've checked elsewhere, and Minny is up to 11.5 and 12 most places. Not sure I'm convinced enough that the Vikings suck to take a worse price than everywhere else. I'll probably end up betting this one at the last minute because I can't help myself.
dallas(+3)over HOUSTON looks pretty obvious, as in the NFC East they still have must win games. On the other hand, my fantasy team is loaded with Texans. It's probably telling that I'm more reluctant to bet a game where I have fantasy interests than on the Lions. On the other hand, three is a big number. I might bet this game if I was getting 3.5.
Jeremiah Masoli (aka that rebrobate transfer QB) led Ole Miss to a 55-38 win over Fresno State. I'm not sure how much credit the delinquent star deserves. He went 8 for 12 for 153 yards and 2 TDs, and ran for another 59 yards on 8 carries. At the moment I can see his appeal. Ole Miss wins a game, and I win $$. We'll see how he does against 'Bama and LSU.
Either way, lets not pretend that Mississippi sold it's soul when Houston Nutt decided to take a flier on Masoli. Winning is everything in the NCAA, especially in the SEC, where they don't have as much in the way of academic standards to confuse issues.
According to covers.com, most of the action has been on
detroit(+11)over MINNESOTA. They also say the line opened at 10.5, which may make you wonder how the number rose, if the action has been on the dog. My guess is that the initial action, probably sharp money, was on the favorite. Having said that, I wouldn't be surprised if sharp money has been on Detroit since the line moved, and the books just don't want to move the line back. Covers also says most of the action has been on the OVER, and they also say that has moved from 42 to 42.5. On bodog it's 43. I don't think you can count on Minnesota to fail to score against the Lions. On the other hand, they haven't put up any points yet, so I think I'll stay away from the number, but I'll take the Lions, whether the smart $$ is on them or not. Much of the above is probably me trying to convince myself that I'm betting with the sharps, and not just riding the wave of Jahvid Best hype. As a double owner of the latest fantasy stud, and a Lion fan, this homerism is hard to fight off.
After watching the Lions the last two weeks while in Michigan (and actually enjoying it, despite the losses) I'm tempted to head to Pluckers if I can't find the game on TV. Why? Because I'd like to see Ndamukung Suh take Brett Favre's head off. Check for the highlights of him taking down Michael Vick if you think this is a long shot.
Eyeing the vig, it looks like there is a chance that the line will move to 11.5, so it looks like I'll wait until tomorrow morning to bet this one.
There is hardly a more public team than the Pittsburgh Steelers, 2.5-3 point favorites at Tampa Bay. Since bodog has the larger 3 point spread, the action there is tilting towards the Bucs. The public is surely aware that one more Steeler QB got injured last week. Give me the points, and the stable QB situation. TAMPABAY(+3)over pittsburgh.
Did I say before that I was taking KANSASCITY(+3)over sanfrancisco? Well I am. And fuck Todd Haley in advance when he screws me with his coaching stupidity. Can I trust the 'Niners to blow a must win game? Do they still have must win games in the NFC West?
I've checked elsewhere, and Minny is up to 11.5 and 12 most places. Not sure I'm convinced enough that the Vikings suck to take a worse price than everywhere else. I'll probably end up betting this one at the last minute because I can't help myself.
dallas(+3)over HOUSTON looks pretty obvious, as in the NFC East they still have must win games. On the other hand, my fantasy team is loaded with Texans. It's probably telling that I'm more reluctant to bet a game where I have fantasy interests than on the Lions. On the other hand, three is a big number. I might bet this game if I was getting 3.5.
posted by roQQ | 8:42 PM
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