roQQ boTTom sports

Has our hero hit rock bottom? He is hoping that his online sportsbook/poker accounts have hit bottom, but you can always go lower....They say that you have to hit rock bottom before you get help for an addiction, but if the addiction is profitable...

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Friday, September 24, 2010

Week 3 Picks / Bottomfeeding on the Bunny Slope

Well, Nevada went ahead and showed me why they were only a 3 point dog, laying down the proverbial smack on the visiting Cal Golden Bears, 52-31. While they failed to impress the way I'd hoped, Kansas State saved my college weekend, beating visiting Iowa State 27-20, as well as the four point spread. This game ended perfectly for me. The Wildcats trailed 20-17 in the 4th quarter, but got a TD for the 24-20 push, then stopped the Cyclones and got a late field goal to cover.

In NFL action, I went 2-2. I completely botched the Falcons-Cardnails game, as Atlanta easily covered the 7 points, 41-7. At this point I'm 0-2 on Falcons games, and I think I need to stay away from atlanta(+4)at NEW ORLEANS. I keep hearing that there's something rotten in New Orleans, but the Saints won several games last year in less than convincing fashion, so getting outgained but winning the turnover battle in SF seems about par for the course to me. Incidentally, I'm in the process of cutting my fantasy ties to the champs, as I managed to trade off Marques Colston and Thomas Jones to Pugilant Mick for Calvin Johnson and C.J. Spiller. As long as my starters stay healthy and are productive and C.J. continues to back up Fred Jackson and Marshawn Lynch, I've slightly upgraded at WR and downgraded my bench. Since I drafted Jones as a quasi-handcuff for Jamaal Charles, and Jones is getting 60% of Chief carries so far, this trade arguably weakens the structure of my team, but right now Malcom Floyd, Mark Clayton, and Demaryius Thomas are shaping up as solid flex plays should I need to resort to a 3WR lineup if Charles fails to produce. I prefer to go 3RB, but since Bunny Slope is a PPR league I think I can get away with it if I run out of RB production. Oh yeah, and Mike Williams...the rookie, not the washed up ex-Lion.

If this trade works out, it will be a quintessential example of the roQQ boTTomfEEders...well, bottomfeeding. The rich get richer. The poor get left behind. Even the poor, inbred Fighting Irish. Especially them.

Actually this trade probably made them better. Why go 1-6 waiting for the emergence of C.J. Spiller? I fully expect Mike B. and the other haters to attack the trade as unfair, just because they don't want to go up against my starting lineup. Can't say I blame them. I wouldn't want to take me on either. The Cove Romosexuals were so devastated by their week one loss that they changed their name to the Camden Convicts.

(I'm sure this wasn't the real reason for the name change. After all, my other boTTomfEEders beat the other Romosexuals in the other league last week, and they are still Romosexuals. Beat them like a gong.)

While Todd Haley may be ruining fantasy seasons everywhere with his ill-advised underuse of Jamaal Charles, the Chiefs are now 2-0, as they beat the Brown out of the Browns 16-14 by the lake last week, winning outright as 3 point road dogs. This week they are 3 point home dogs to the 49ers. I don't know whether to take the points, or to hope the Niners get a lead and stuff the run, forcing the Chiefs to open up their offense and throw to Jamaal Charles and Dwayne Bowe. I don't see this team trying to develop offensively unless they are forced to. Sort of like the Jets, though San Francisco presents a slightly less daunting challenge than New England. I've been rooting for Kansas City, since I expected that them winning would help the prospects of the Chiefs on my fantasy teams. At this point I expect losing might give Todd Haley a better chance of shaking his stupidity. Given the Murphy's Lawish implications, that makes me lean KANSASCITY(+3)over sanfrancisco, though this game is a must win for the 'Niners, or would be if the NFC West wasn't historically bad.

Speaking of the Jets, (I just was, I swear) word has it that the smart $$ is fading New York, fresh of their 28-14 win and cover over 3 point road favorite New England (I lost), in favor of Miami, fresh off their 14-10 upset win over the 6 point favorite Vikings (I won). The pick is MIAMI(-2)over nyjets. Apparently the wiseguys expect money to pour in on the Jets this weekend. If I can get a better price I may take the Fins again. This game opened as Dolphins(-1) or a pick. I'm not counting on the number going back down.

........................

It's Saturday, so let me pause to get some $$ down on some college games, before I continue my ruminations on the NFL.

I've taken stanford(+1.5)over NOTREDAME, OVER 53.5. It would be more of a kick while ND is down to just take stanford(-5), but lets not get carried away. Just as I avoided taking Michigan State(-3.5) last week, since I didn't believe we were particularly good (still don't), Stanford has a history of close, but high scoring games vs. the Irish. While I like Stanford's 68-24 win over Wake Forest last week, this game is in South Bend, Notre Dame is not Wake Forest, and this is not basketball.

OLEMISS(-2)over fresnostate. My sources say the wiseguys are all over the Rebs in this one, possibly because of their new reprobate transfer QB, Mazola, or Masouli, or whatever his name is. Maybe it's the SEC dominance. Either way, this is second hand knowledge. I have no opinion about this game, despite my habit of roaming around in Rebel gear for no reason at all, something I'll need to discuss at some point.

Looks like I was right to not wait for action on the Jets to bring the line down. The line has moved from Miami(-2) to Miami(-2.5).




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