NFL Over/Unders
I've been checking out the total win props for the NFL, and right now I'm looking at
San Diego OVER 11 (+105). The UNDER is (-135), and I don't see why $$ is coming in on it. The Chargers get to play 12 games against the AFC West and NFC West. I can see them going 10-2 against these stiffs. Ladanian Tomlinson's departure probably makes them better,* and I suspect Vincent Jackson will sign in the end...not sure if VJax is a big factor with this number or not.
ESPN has the Chargers at #10 on their power ratings. While the reasoning behind their rankings is often strained, I agree with their assessment. On the other hand, San Diego joins the Colts as the only teams with an O/U of 11. I agree with this as well, based on their creampuff schedule. The Colts, by the way, were the only team whose total I bet last year. I think I took over 11, though it may have been 10.5. Came out better than my bet on the Pats to win the Super Bowl at 4/1.
Meanwhile, $$ on Minnesota has driven Vikings OVER 9.5 to (-140). I think their number would be higher, other than the continual Brett Favre retirement saga dampens it a bit. Apparently I'm not alone. On the other hand, the Vikes get to play the NFC East & AFC East, so their schedule is pretty tough. I still see them winning 10 games, but they have the Saints, Jets, Pats, Redskins, and Eagles on the road. Pretty nasty.
*Or Ryan Matthews makes them better. They may have an actual running game this year.
San Diego OVER 11 (+105). The UNDER is (-135), and I don't see why $$ is coming in on it. The Chargers get to play 12 games against the AFC West and NFC West. I can see them going 10-2 against these stiffs. Ladanian Tomlinson's departure probably makes them better,* and I suspect Vincent Jackson will sign in the end...not sure if VJax is a big factor with this number or not.
ESPN has the Chargers at #10 on their power ratings. While the reasoning behind their rankings is often strained, I agree with their assessment. On the other hand, San Diego joins the Colts as the only teams with an O/U of 11. I agree with this as well, based on their creampuff schedule. The Colts, by the way, were the only team whose total I bet last year. I think I took over 11, though it may have been 10.5. Came out better than my bet on the Pats to win the Super Bowl at 4/1.
Meanwhile, $$ on Minnesota has driven Vikings OVER 9.5 to (-140). I think their number would be higher, other than the continual Brett Favre retirement saga dampens it a bit. Apparently I'm not alone. On the other hand, the Vikes get to play the NFC East & AFC East, so their schedule is pretty tough. I still see them winning 10 games, but they have the Saints, Jets, Pats, Redskins, and Eagles on the road. Pretty nasty.
*Or Ryan Matthews makes them better. They may have an actual running game this year.
posted by roQQ | 7:44 PM
0 Comments:
Post a Comment
<< Home