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Friday, September 17, 2010

My Wrangler Story

I'm not about to pretend that I have a firm grasp on the good and bad teams in college football. But so far I'm a whopping 1-0 on the season. So there.

cal(-3)over NEVADA. I have no idea why Cal is only favored by three. They just dismantled Colorado 52-7, and before that they took down UC Davis, 52-3. (Not that UC Davis was up before or anything.) Not that it helps them here, but Cal has produced fantasy studs including DeSean Jackson, Jahvid Best, and Justin Forsett,* and I wouldn't be shocked if they had a couple more in the hopper. Nevada has a couple of nice wins as well, but nobody from the Big XII. (Colorado's transition to the Pac-10/12 could be painful, if their score vs. Cal is any indicator. Of course, their recent time in the Big XII/X hasn't exactly been painless either.

I'm not sure if the sports talk guys covering Texas football are just trying to hype their Big XII schedule, but they seem pretty worried about the 'Horns' trip to KState later this year. No such trepidation with the mighty Iowa State Cyclones. So I'm not sure I get why I can get
KANSAS STATE(-4)over iowa state, but I'll take it. I suspect the Longhorn worries are based on trips to Manhattan from 4 or 8 years ago, since they only play the North Division teams every other year, and they flip home and away, but I have no reason to think the Cyclones are any good.

The vig seems to have evened out on Pats at Jets to where I can't expect to get a better number on the Pats. So be it. I'm 2-0 on this series from last year, and the Jets don't look ready for prime time. new england(-3)over NYJETS.

My dogs this week are making me a bit nervous, but there are a couple of lines that I just don't get, so I think I need to try to punish Vegas. miami(+6)over MINNESOTA. I suppose a close loss to the Saints is more impressive than a close win over the Bills, but I don't see what's behind this lack of respect for the 'Fins. Or respect for the Vikings.

Speaking of the Vikings, has anyone noticed the most recent Brett Favre Wrangler ad? I don't even remember how it goes, except that it ends with Brett saying, "That's my Wrangler story. What's yours?" Any ad angency that thinks it's a good idea to have Brett say "my story" has rocks in their head. We already know Favre is full of shit. Why draw attention to it? Why not have him say "That's my story and I'm sticking to it?" He has about as much credibility as Richard Nixon. No, less. At least when Nixon said we wouldn't have him to kick around any more he didn't run again for eight years.

They should do an ad where Brett throws out a worn out pair of Wranglers. Then fishes them out of the trash and washes them with his own tears. Then throws them away again. Rinse, lather, repeat. Now that's a Brett Favre Wrangler story I could buy.

I get that the Cardnails suck, but I don't see why the Falcons are favored by seven against them. I don't like taking west coast teams out east, but I don't get all the Falcon love.
arizona(+7)over ATLANTA. If the dirty birds win by 4 all these prognosticators will jizz all over themselves and favor them over the Saints next week. Wait--no they won't. Atlanta will win this game so they don't start 0-3, but putting the Cards away will be tougher than people think.



*Forsett may not qualify as a fantasy stud, but check his highlight tape. I think his day is coming, unless Pete Carroll completely mishandles his talent.

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