Quad tease? Naughty!
Sometime here I need to give my results from last week, but lets get some $$ down on this weeks games first.
Since bodog doesn't like to allow teasing a team and the over/under from the same game until a bit before game time, I'm teasing Alabama and Oregon for 6 points each, giving me
ALABAMA(-1.5)over lsu and oregon(-1.5)over STANFORD. Lots of seven point spreads in college this week if you are in to this sort of thing.
I may try a quad tease on the 'Bama-LSU game, if bodog opens up the teases soon enough before the game for me to get the $$ down. I have shit to do today, and I can't bet from work.
If I do it, that would be 'BAMA(-1.5)and over34, 'BAMA(-1.5)and under46, lsu(+13.5)and over34, and lsu(+13.5)and under 46. This gives me a window from 'Bama 19, LSU 17, to 'Bama 23, LSU 21, to 'Bama 23, LSU 11, to 'Bama 29, LSU 17. What's interesting is how many of these scores are unusual, requiring a missed extra point, a two-point conversion, or a safety to happen, or a bunch of field goals. This may mean I need to do a 7 point tease to cover some more scores, which will of course cost me more vig. The nice thing is most scores outside of this box (graph it--it looks like a box) will win two of the bets, costing only the vig. This sort of tease could be the best way to bet a close struggle, kind of like selling futures options when you don't believe the commodities market will move dramatically. The Steelers-Cardnails Super Bowl would have won all four teases, for instance. I myself won a double tease on that game. Check my archives.
I could do this for Oregon-Stanford, but I think this sort of bet works best in a defensive struggle, since those games are inherently closer. Stanford could keep it close if Oregon has a letdown, but West Coast shootouts are way harder to predict.
Since bodog doesn't like to allow teasing a team and the over/under from the same game until a bit before game time, I'm teasing Alabama and Oregon for 6 points each, giving me
ALABAMA(-1.5)over lsu and oregon(-1.5)over STANFORD. Lots of seven point spreads in college this week if you are in to this sort of thing.
I may try a quad tease on the 'Bama-LSU game, if bodog opens up the teases soon enough before the game for me to get the $$ down. I have shit to do today, and I can't bet from work.
If I do it, that would be 'BAMA(-1.5)and over34, 'BAMA(-1.5)and under46, lsu(+13.5)and over34, and lsu(+13.5)and under 46. This gives me a window from 'Bama 19, LSU 17, to 'Bama 23, LSU 21, to 'Bama 23, LSU 11, to 'Bama 29, LSU 17. What's interesting is how many of these scores are unusual, requiring a missed extra point, a two-point conversion, or a safety to happen, or a bunch of field goals. This may mean I need to do a 7 point tease to cover some more scores, which will of course cost me more vig. The nice thing is most scores outside of this box (graph it--it looks like a box) will win two of the bets, costing only the vig. This sort of tease could be the best way to bet a close struggle, kind of like selling futures options when you don't believe the commodities market will move dramatically. The Steelers-Cardnails Super Bowl would have won all four teases, for instance. I myself won a double tease on that game. Check my archives.
I could do this for Oregon-Stanford, but I think this sort of bet works best in a defensive struggle, since those games are inherently closer. Stanford could keep it close if Oregon has a letdown, but West Coast shootouts are way harder to predict.
posted by roQQ | 5:43 AM
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