Happy Birthday to Arya...
Tuesday Morning, about an hour before my daughter was born, my wife and I tried to do an over/under. It had been 10 or 11 hours since the Monday night game, and about a day-and-a-half since I'd had any sort of gambling acton. I needed a fix, so I asked my wife to guess our baby's weight.
Our son had been 10 pounds, 14 ounces at birth, and our first daughter was eight pounds, four ounces. That made the middle between them nine pounds, nine ounces. My wife believed that she was even bigger at the end of this pregnancy than she had been for her first. Despite this, I still held that I would go UNDER if 9-9 was the O/U.
Some old guy who worked at the hospital came in the room and overheard us. He took a look at my wife's belly, and said, "Eight pounds, twelve ounces."
Carolina opened as 3-point underdogs to the Giants. By Wednesday, the Panthers were favored by 1.5-1, and you could find them favored by 3. I took nygiants(+3)overCAROLINA. Then I found out that in addition to the injured Ahmad Bradshaw, Hakeem Nicks would not play.
Well, the line makes more sense now.
I still think I'd take the Giants. Their history makes it look like homefield advantage doesn't matter for them, or rather, that they have a home filed DISadvantage. Their road record has been better than their home record for a while now.
.................................................................
I wrote a bit about college games yesterday, but didn't save it, so when my computer shut down to do some meaningless updates, I lost it all. I may get back to this.
Meanwhile, I've made several bets on the NFL this week, most of them back on Tuesday or Wednesday, meaning, back BEFORE the Giants destroyed the Panthers. Only my chronic tendonitis is keeping me from patting myself on the back right now.
I thought long and hard (mmmmmmmmmmmmmm...) about taking detroit(-3.5)overTENNESSEE, but now the line has moved to 4...this is a game the Lions should CRUSH the opposition, despite being on the road, but home teams went 14-2 last week, and this feels like a game the Lions will find a way to fuck up.
Fuck it. I took detroit(-4)overTENNESSEE. In related news I'm starting Mikel Leshoure at flex in one of my fantasy leagues, sort of a desperation play, since I'm projected to lose by 20 or 30 now that Cam Newton scored fewer points than his own tight end Thursday night.
Also took CLEVELAND(+3)overbuffalo. Hitting those home dogs this week. The Browns were competitive last week too...meanwhile, the guy who is a heavy favorite to beat me in fantasy this week offered me CJ Spiller for Doug Martin. Martin's job is safer, but Spiller is the best fantasy player in the league this year. Even if you think the Bills management are idiots, you'd think they could continue to get Spiller the ball when Fred Jackson gets healthy. Also, neither one of them are 25 carry-a-game grinders, so you'd think they'd be good with 15 or so touches/week each.
Anyway, I took the trade. He may have just handed me the top two backs in the league. The trade doesn't go through for two days, so I'm rooting for Martin today, but Spiller on the season...provided the trade goes thru...though I still have Martin in my other league either way.
Jesus. Spiller just scored. I hope this guy doesn't veto his own trade. Cleveland trails, 14-0.
Took MIAMI(+3)overnyjets Home dogs. Maybe I was the only one paying attention to what the 'Fins did to the Raiders last week...which doesn't make me confident about
OAKLAND(+4)overpittsburgh. The Steelers currently have no running game. The Raiders defense sucks, but at least they'll be dealing with a one dimensional Steeler offense traveling to the west coast.
ARIZONA(+4)overphiladelphia Either Philly is going to break out and have a big game, or they are going to lose one. Home team & points.
tampabay(+8)overDALLAS Tampa has alot of question marks, but they played the Giants tough last week. As talented as these NFC East teams are, none of them are terribly consistent.
I have stlouis(+8)overCHICAGO The Rams look capable of losing alot of close games this year. Hopefully this is one of them.
It's about halftime for the early games.
Winning:
Miami(+3)10, NY Jets 3
Dallas 10, Tampa Bay(+8) 7
Chicago 10 St Louis (+8) 3
Losing:
Tennessee 20, Detroit(-4) 9
Buffalo 14, Cleveland(+3) 7
..............................................
For the week, I won with
nygiants(+3)overCAROLINA
tampabay(+8)overDALLAS
ARIZONA(+4)overphiladelphia and
OAKLAND(+4)over pittsburgh
lost with
stlouis(+8)overCHIACAGO
detroit(-4)overTENNESSEE
CLEVELAND(+3)overbuffalo
and pushed with
MIAMI(+3)overnyjets.
Our son had been 10 pounds, 14 ounces at birth, and our first daughter was eight pounds, four ounces. That made the middle between them nine pounds, nine ounces. My wife believed that she was even bigger at the end of this pregnancy than she had been for her first. Despite this, I still held that I would go UNDER if 9-9 was the O/U.
Some old guy who worked at the hospital came in the room and overheard us. He took a look at my wife's belly, and said, "Eight pounds, twelve ounces."
Carolina opened as 3-point underdogs to the Giants. By Wednesday, the Panthers were favored by 1.5-1, and you could find them favored by 3. I took nygiants(+3)overCAROLINA. Then I found out that in addition to the injured Ahmad Bradshaw, Hakeem Nicks would not play.
Well, the line makes more sense now.
I still think I'd take the Giants. Their history makes it look like homefield advantage doesn't matter for them, or rather, that they have a home filed DISadvantage. Their road record has been better than their home record for a while now.
.................................................................
I wrote a bit about college games yesterday, but didn't save it, so when my computer shut down to do some meaningless updates, I lost it all. I may get back to this.
Meanwhile, I've made several bets on the NFL this week, most of them back on Tuesday or Wednesday, meaning, back BEFORE the Giants destroyed the Panthers. Only my chronic tendonitis is keeping me from patting myself on the back right now.
I thought long and hard (mmmmmmmmmmmmmm...) about taking detroit(-3.5)overTENNESSEE, but now the line has moved to 4...this is a game the Lions should CRUSH the opposition, despite being on the road, but home teams went 14-2 last week, and this feels like a game the Lions will find a way to fuck up.
Fuck it. I took detroit(-4)overTENNESSEE. In related news I'm starting Mikel Leshoure at flex in one of my fantasy leagues, sort of a desperation play, since I'm projected to lose by 20 or 30 now that Cam Newton scored fewer points than his own tight end Thursday night.
Also took CLEVELAND(+3)overbuffalo. Hitting those home dogs this week. The Browns were competitive last week too...meanwhile, the guy who is a heavy favorite to beat me in fantasy this week offered me CJ Spiller for Doug Martin. Martin's job is safer, but Spiller is the best fantasy player in the league this year. Even if you think the Bills management are idiots, you'd think they could continue to get Spiller the ball when Fred Jackson gets healthy. Also, neither one of them are 25 carry-a-game grinders, so you'd think they'd be good with 15 or so touches/week each.
Anyway, I took the trade. He may have just handed me the top two backs in the league. The trade doesn't go through for two days, so I'm rooting for Martin today, but Spiller on the season...provided the trade goes thru...though I still have Martin in my other league either way.
Jesus. Spiller just scored. I hope this guy doesn't veto his own trade. Cleveland trails, 14-0.
Took MIAMI(+3)overnyjets Home dogs. Maybe I was the only one paying attention to what the 'Fins did to the Raiders last week...which doesn't make me confident about
OAKLAND(+4)overpittsburgh. The Steelers currently have no running game. The Raiders defense sucks, but at least they'll be dealing with a one dimensional Steeler offense traveling to the west coast.
ARIZONA(+4)overphiladelphia Either Philly is going to break out and have a big game, or they are going to lose one. Home team & points.
tampabay(+8)overDALLAS Tampa has alot of question marks, but they played the Giants tough last week. As talented as these NFC East teams are, none of them are terribly consistent.
I have stlouis(+8)overCHICAGO The Rams look capable of losing alot of close games this year. Hopefully this is one of them.
It's about halftime for the early games.
Winning:
Miami(+3)10, NY Jets 3
Dallas 10, Tampa Bay(+8) 7
Chicago 10 St Louis (+8) 3
Losing:
Tennessee 20, Detroit(-4) 9
Buffalo 14, Cleveland(+3) 7
..............................................
For the week, I won with
nygiants(+3)overCAROLINA
tampabay(+8)overDALLAS
ARIZONA(+4)overphiladelphia and
OAKLAND(+4)over pittsburgh
lost with
stlouis(+8)overCHIACAGO
detroit(-4)overTENNESSEE
CLEVELAND(+3)overbuffalo
and pushed with
MIAMI(+3)overnyjets.
posted by roQQ | 5:20 PM
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