Late Playoff picks

I'm stuck in Kuwait, and haven't had internet since yesterday morning, so I didn't get my playoff picks out on time. I'm also rusty, since I haven't been able to bet all year, so you probably don't want them anyway.

The internet here is so ungodly slow that I couldn't even get my Falcons at Giants pick in on time. It's still 0-0, six minutes and 4 punts into the game. NYGIANTS(-2.5)over atlanta. I was already leaning toward the home team, but on 5dimes.com, you can actually give less than 3. They have enticing spreads there all the time, which is why this is the site I tried to open an account on earlier in the season...in fact, I HAVE an account there, it's just too much of a pain to put $$ in it from Afghanistan. When I get back, I will bet here, and so should you. The only other thing worth considering would be to take NY(-2.5), and atl(+3). If you could get atl(+3.5), this would be my recommendation.

Backing up, I had HOUSTON(-3)over cincinnati. Basically a fantasy homer pick, since Arian Foster and Andre Johnson came up big in fantasy for me last year. Along with that, Houston's running game is usually downright scary. In fact, it may be the scariest thing in the league this year, after the Packers, Saints and Patriots' passing attacks. Of course, this one is over, Texans, 31-10. And that running game was downright scary. Interestingly, to get to the Super Bowl, the Texans must face one or both of the defenses capable of shutting them down (Baltimore and possibly Pittsburgh), or one of the passing games capable or running the score up enough to negate said running game (New England)...unless Tim Tebow beats both the Steelers and Patriots. If they get to the Super Bowl, they will probably need to beat one more of these scary passing games (Green Bay or New Orleans) or possibly the only other team capable of stopping their running game (San Francisco). I guess I'm still not crazy about Houston's chances, much as I LOVE that running game.

In both an actual and fantasy homer pick, I had detroit(+10.5)over NEW ORLEANS. How homer? In addition to being a Honolulu blue blooded Lions fan, I had Calvin Johnson and Jahvid Best last year, and Calvin Johnson, Jahvid Best, Mikel Leshoure, Titus Young, and Matthew Stafford this year. Detroit almost got me the back-door cover everyone was talking about, when they closed to within 38-28 in the 4th quarter, but the Saints extended their lead to 45-28 for the front-door(?) cover. At the end of the game, Drew Brees was downing the ball near the Lions goal line, so New Orleans could have blown the door off the hinges and hung 50. I usually don't have to worry about this level of irrationality from my picks, as the Lions usually do me a favor and miss them.

Atlanta has gotten Eli Manning to illegally ground the ball in the end zone for a safety, and the Falcons are driving, up 2-0, and up 4.5 on my small as possible spread. If the Giants get their shit together, this smells like a game Eli brings them back to win by...2. 21-19, for instance. That would suck.

I'm taking DENVER(+9)over pittsburgh. I don't trust the Broncos to score, but I don't exactly trust the Steelers to score either. I see this one ending up 13-7, or 16-10. Could it end up 20-3? Sure it could, but give me the points. I know everybody would rather hear hyperbole about Tebow sucking, or miracles, but I think a tight, low scoring game is just as likely.

Looks like the internet here sucks enough that I can't publish, either. Fucking bullshit. Giants just scored...7-2. The semi-mouthy Falcons fans near me are shutting the fuck up...for now.