roQQ boTTom sports

Has our hero hit rock bottom? He is hoping that his online sportsbook/poker accounts have hit bottom, but you can always go lower....They say that you have to hit rock bottom before you get help for an addiction, but if the addiction is profitable...

My Photo
Name:
Location: Cuba

Wednesday, September 12, 2012

Only 3 days between Weeks 1 & 2

I didn't pick any games this week.  I don't like to pick games unless I bet on them, and I haven't put any money online...yet.

But I must say...I loved TAMPAY(+3)over carolina.  I guess the Panthers are the sexy pick to step up for anybody predicting the demise of the Saints or Falcons.  There was no real reason not to expect Josh Freeman to bounce back from a disappointing sophomore campaign.  If you liked Carolina, you should have expected the Bucs to be favored by 1-2.5, much like the Broncos, who are favored by two at home against the Steelers.  The Sunday night matchup is scoreless, with the teams trading a punt apiece so far.

Neither team has shown themselves capable of running successfully so far.  Nor have the Broncos proven capable of holding on to the ball (one fumble), nor have the Steelers been able to protect Ben Roethlisberger.

Whatever.  I kind of liked Denver, and they won, but I kind of liked cincinnati(+7.5)over BALTIMORE, and that didn't happen.  San Diego-Oakland outcomes always look obvious after the game is over.  Picks made after the game is over are inherently lame.

............................................................................................

It's less than 24 hours away from the week 2 Thursday night game (Thursday night games all year--WTFF?!?!?!?!) and I am convinced that Green Bay is still overvalued, so I am taking chicago(+6)overGREENBAY.  I just deposited $$ on a square site (bovada) and a sharp site (5dimes).   5dimes has Green Bay by 5, due to their ultra sharp bettors, while bovada has Green Bay by 6, due to their ultra square bettors.

If the line moves up at all (it opened at 7) I will probably bet it again.

I feel like I have a moral obligation to root against Green Bay, New England, and New Orleans as long as they neglect defense &/or running in favor of throwing all day and exploiting the NFL's ever morphing rules.  Of course, I probably ought to root against the Lions in that case, though they at least try to play defense, and presumably will run more often if they find a way to keep one or two healthy running backs.

I don't feel a moral obligation to bet against these teams, but if they are overvalued it is probably a good idea.

It is almost Thursday night game time, and even the square site has the line down to GB by 5.  Apparently the public is off the Packers.

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

<< Home