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Has our hero hit rock bottom? He is hoping that his online sportsbook/poker accounts have hit bottom, but you can always go lower....They say that you have to hit rock bottom before you get help for an addiction, but if the addiction is profitable...

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Saturday, February 12, 2011

Badgers game goes OVER

I'm pretty much a one-trick pony when it comes to betting college hoops (and pro-hoops, for that matter), and while that trick hasn't served me well this year, I'm giving it a shot today.

Now that football is done, what choice do I have?

CLEMSON(-1)over north carolina, VANDERBILT(-1)over kentucky. That trick, of course, is betting the unranked or lower ranked home favorite over the higher ranked road dog. The interesting thing about these games (for me, at least) is that both of these lines moved after I bet them. Clemson closed favored by 1.5, while the other line flipped to kentucky(-1). I've tripled up on Vandy, with two units of VANDERBILT(+1)over kentucky.

Kentucky jumped out to a lead of 17-11 or so, whereupon I proceeded to take a massive dump. When I returned, Vandy was down one, and right now they are up 38-35 with 3 to go in the first half. Apparently if I'd taken a massive dump during the Super Bowl Pittsburgh would have won. Right now UNC leads Clemson, 24-20.

I've parlayed WISCONSIN(-1)over ohio state, UNDER 125. While Wisconsin is always deliberate on offense, leading to some really low scores, I expect them to try even harder to shorten the game against the unbeaten, top ranked Buckeyes. If the Badgers are successful,I expect them to impose their will enough to keep the score down.

While the line for this game did not move in the hour or so leading up to game time, the vig moved slightly, making a parlay paying 2.5/1 pay 2.58/1. I also paid a little extra to move the line from 1.5 to 1. WIS(-1.5)/UNDER 125 paid 2.6/1.

Right now Wisconsin leads, 12-6, and my concern is that the game could go over, since it turns out that the Badgers have a shit-hot 3 point shooter who I was previously unaware of. Not only can he drain 3s, they don't seem to mind if he takes one at the front end...

9:19 to go in the first, and it's 13-11, Wisconsin. Bad for the Badgers, good for the UNDER.

I took BOSTON(-2)over lalakers Thursday night. I'm not sure if Laker desperation in not beating anyone good all season was factored in, or if LA just gets more action, but I thought 3, 3.5 made more sense. The Lakers won by 6, and it wasn't that close. Shows what I know.

UNC has held on to beat Clemson, 64-62. Vandy beat Kentucky, 81-77, enough to put me up for the day, despite OSU taking over with a 13 point lead with 12 minutes to play, and enough points to make the over likely if Wisconsin finds a way to come back. I'll take it.

Wisconsin has scored 13 straight, knotting it at 47 all. Holy shit.

49-49, and the scoring has slowed just enough to give the under a chance.

60-55 Wisconsin, 4:17 left. This looks like it's going over. 62-55. There's no way these teams don't get 9 more points.

Wisconsin won, but it went over. Lets see if I can refrain from blowing my modest winnings later on today.

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