Discover Orange Degeneracy

I just bet Stanford(-4)over Virginia Tech, seconds before the kickoff. Am I a degenerate? If

Va Tech's defense is half as good as it has been in the past, the Hokies seem like the smarter bet.

Of course, I'm saying this as Andrew Luck throws one in the dirt on 3rd and 8.

The second Stanford drive ended around midfield with a failed fake punt--a short snap and a run up the middle that got stuffed. Next drive Stanford drove 86 yards, the last 60 on a run off left tackle.

Stanford leads 13-12 at the half, courtesy of a safety, a botched extra point, and a crappy prevent defense that allowed VTech to get a late FG. If I lose this pick because of that extra point, I'll be pissed.

I've started betting the first round of the NFL playoffs. Last night I guessed the lines. Here's what I came up with.

neworleans(-10) SEATTLE

INDIANAPOLIS(-4) nyjets

baltimore(-1) KANSASCITY

PHILADELPHIA(-3) greenbay

and the actual lines?

neworleans(-10.5)

INDY(-3)

balt(-3)

PHILY(-2.5)

The Saints are now favored by 11. This line may keep going up. Indy is lower than I expected. I think this line moves up, though the early money is on the Jets. I think the Oakland game colored the perception of the Ravens, and I've seen a sharp book where the line agreed with me.

I thought GB-Phily would be on a big number, to keep the line from passing a big number. Bodog has moved to 3, and $$ is pouring in on the Packers. Maybe some book that has the line at (-2.5) is getting crazy action the other way.

I was almost sold on giving the points with the Ravens, who have the kind of defense that could shut down the Chiefs. Then I remembered the Raven offense, which hasn't exactly set the world on fire. Give me points and the home team. KANSASCITY(+3)over baltimore. This is a battle of teams with my fantasy RBs. Last year I took Ray Rice in the 6th round, and got Jamaal Charles off waivers. This year I took Charles in the second round...and won my league.

The Colts seem to be a shadow of last year's team. Have the Jets figured out how to beat them? They could pull off the upset the way the Chargers did two years ago, but I'm not going against Manning. Not this week anyway. Not against Mark Sanchez. Though if the line moves to 4.5 or 5, I may bet it the other way. For now, INDY(-3)over nyjets.

Stanford won, 40-12. I am shit hot.

I'm taking Ohio State(-3)over Arkansas now, before the line moves. Coulda gave only 3.5 with Stanford, but I waited too long. $$ is leaning the Buckeyes way. Gotta like a team who trades memorabilia for skin ink, then gets suspended for next year. Any time the NCAA bends their own rules, so you can play and be a cash cow, you gotta like those odds. Those tattoos will sting alot less in the offseason with a Sugar Bowl win.

Have I mentioned that I am shit hot?