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Has our hero hit rock bottom? He is hoping that his online sportsbook/poker accounts have hit bottom, but you can always go lower....They say that you have to hit rock bottom before you get help for an addiction, but if the addiction is profitable...

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Sunday, January 16, 2011

I give up...

A week and a half into the playoffs I'm 2-4, with my only correct picks being both Packer games. Since the line moved enough to tempt me into a middle with Atlanta(-1), my money results are even more dismal than my picks. Follow me the rest of the way if you must, but be aware that I have pretty much lost hope and am mailing it in, as they say.

Having said that, the Pats line, which opened around -8.5, has moved to 10, so it is time for me to take the Jets. nyjets(+10)over NEWENGLAND. Am I aware that this pick could turn against me? Of course I am. Most of my picks have already done so.

If you're looking for somebody you trust to lay ten points with, the Pats are probably your team. I guess I'm taking CHICAGO(-10)over seattle trusting Soldier field to do a nice chunk of the dirty work. Not that Seattle can't play in the cold. Last week's upset of the champion Saints was in a blustery 40 degrees Farenheit or so. But the Seahawks are moving from the best home field advantage in the NFL in their favor, to one of the most hostile crowds going against them.

I am curious if it might be a disadvantage for the Bears playing on Sunday, now that they can look past the Seahawks to the hated Packers. According to all the Week 17 hype, the Packers are to Lovie Smith's Bears as a red flag is to a bull. The Bull almost always ends up skewerd. Will this one get stuck by Green Bay, or by the visiting Seahawks?

Incidentally, these picks put me opposite Bill Simmons across the board this week. I don't think this has ever happened before. More often than not I agree with the Sports Guy, and this year he actually cashed in the Hilton Supercontest. On the other hand, he faded Green Bay, who I thought was the only obvious pick this week. Perhaps the Packers are his blind spot. If so, I'm probably fucked again today.

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