Iron Bowl

I've done my classic double tease: ALABAMA(+3)UNDER 65, auburn(+11)OVER 51. I'm paying a -130 vig for this 14 point box, with the logic that a low scoring game should indicate things are going 'Bama's way, while a high scoring game should indicate the opposite. My gut likes Auburn and the under, however. My bets are more an indication of degeneracy than an opinion. This is the biggest game of the year, and I want some action on it.

Whoa--Auburn is getting exposed and hosed. 21-0 in the first quarter. It looks like I need to root for the UNDER.

Hmmm. The third quarter is winding down, and 'Bama leads, 27-21, for a total of 48. Right now I still have 'Bama and the under, and I'm within a couple of scores of hitting both teases. In fact, an Alabama FG will put me at 30-21, for a win and a push. An Auburn FG gets me the same thing. A 'Bama TD gives me a win and a loss, as Auburn(+11) wouldn't cover, 34-21. An Auburn TD gets me to 28-27, winning both bets.

Auburn just converted a 4th and 3, and look like they are about to score. If they take the lead right now I have to believe there will be at least two more scores. Unless these are a FG and a TD, giving me a push, I think the OVER is coming in.

Auburn just scored. 28-27. 55 points. Right now both my bets are winning.

'Bama is driving, and taking their time. This is good for my bets. 4th and inches, 8:23 to go. The Tide have rolled at least the required inch. 1st down.

McElroy just took a sack on another 4th down, and he hasn't gotten up. From my living room in Texas it looks like a hurt right shoulder. That brings a 4th down & 16. If Auburn scores my 'Bama tease can't cover...until 'Bama comes back at least. 'Bama has shanked a punt, and right now it sounds like Greg McElroy may have a concussion.

Auburn is driving, and just converted a 4th and inches. They don't look too interested in scoring, though. Good. 2:35 to go.

Speaking of not trying to score, it looks like Auburn just took a delay of game on 3rd and 9....no, they called timeout. 1:47 to go.

An Auburn sweep just got stuffed. 'Bama ball will be the best thing for my bets. At that point anything but a Tide turnover would put me in good shape.

4th and 10. If 'Bama doesn't convert, Auburn is in FG range....they didn't. 0:30 to go. Fall on the ball, Auburn!

They did. Cha-ching! Ballgame. Both my teases covered. In fact, my gut instinct that Auburn and the under would come in turned out to be right as well, since the O/U was 57. Wacky.