Cowboys wont disappoint--as long as they lose by 14 or less

I went 2-0 last week. Both Philadelphia and Atlanta showed why they deserved to be favored by more than I though they deserved, before ultimately failing to cover. Indy came from behind to cover vs. the Eagles, 26-24. Tampa Bay did likewise, losing to the Falcons, 27-21. I still can't believe I got 10 points in that one. During the game I thought I was +7.5 or 8. I suppose the Falcons have proven themselves that much more, since they just beat the Ravens Thursday night.

Tomorrow I have dallas(+14.5)over NEWYORKGIANTS. This game opened at 10.5, but was up to 14.5 by the time I saw a line. I bet it immediately. Usually teams that got blown out the previous week are good bets. Everyone seems to be convinced the Cowboys are imploding. Maybe they are, but I see them doing the 4 point loss kind of implosion they've been doing all year. When was the last time you saw a 14 point spread in an NFC East divisional game?

Meanwhile, the 49er Kool-Aid is a heady brew. That's why they're favored by six hosting the Rams. What have the 'Niners done better than the Cowboys, aside from be in a crappy divison? (And run the ball. Frank Gore is a stud.) Would the Cowboys be favored this week if the Giants were 4-4? Fuck no. stlouis(+6)over SANFRANCISCO. Nonsense.

I've also taken ARIZONA(-3)over seattle. Shouldn't the fact that the Seahawks are terrible on the road get the Cards another half point or so? Isn't Hasselbeck still out?

(Checking.....)

Matt Hasselbec is playing. This doesn't make me regert my pick, though it may make me keep both Mike Williamses on my Fantasy roster. And 3 Johnsons (Andre, Calvin, and Steve). My WR corps is sick. My bench may outscore some teams this week, whcih is a nice way to say I may be making some mistakes with my roster.

The fact that Seattle got blown out last week may bode ill for my 'Zona pick, or at least bodes ill for my logic for picking the Cowboys.

I've been behind recapping my picks from the last few weeks, so let me try to catch up.

October 16-17: minnesota (+6)over PURDUE: Not so much--Purdue, 28-17. 0-1
olemiss(+21)over ALABAMA That's more like it--'Bama, 23-10. 1-1
oakland(+7)overSANFRANCISCO Nonsense--SF, 17-9
TAMPABAY(+4.5)over neworleans Other weeks make this pick plausible, rather than laughable--Saints, 31-6
baltimore(+3)over NEWENGLAND Shoulda won this one--got a push instead, Pats 23-20(OT). Games like this one make me wonder how the experts can stand by their Ravens Super Bowl picks. 0-2-1 on the NFL.

October 24: pittsburgh(-3)over MIAMI I was a replay away from winning this one--Steelers 23-22.
newengland(+3)over SANDIEGO Check the stats, and you wonder how the Pats won this. I blame Norv Turner. Pats 23-20.
CAROLINA(+3)over sanfrancisco People love the 'Niners for some reason. Panthers, 23-20. Are there any 23-20 games I didn't bet on?
minnesota(+3)over GREENBAY Packers, 28-24 Pack shows they can win despite all the injuries--at least against these purple stiffs they can. 2-2 for the week. 2-4-1 on the NFL so far.

October 30-31 michiganstate(+7)over IOWA This one hurt--Hawkeyes, 37-6
pittsburgh(+1)over NEW ORLEANS Pittsburgh beat the crap out of the Saints, but turned the ball over--Saints 20-10.
OAKLAND(-3)over seattle--It pains be to be this dialed in on the crappy western teams--Oakland 33-3. Of course, with the Seahawks I just take them at home and fade them on the road.
tennessee(+4.5)over SANDIEGO I take consolation in the fact that nobody else can figure out the Chargers either. Chargers, 33-25. 1-2 on the NFL, 3-5-1 so far.

That brings us back to my Indy and Buc picks, which I aced. 5-5-1 on the NFL in the past month.