Fantasy & Reality Clash
Ugh. I knew San Diego would be overrated, since they are every year, but I thought they would lay waste to Oakland. Similarly, I didn't expect Buffalo to put up much of a fight against the Pats. So both favorites pull out last second wins by the hairs of their respective taints, the Pats 25-24, and the Chargers 24-20.
Meanwhile, I seem to be making bets that conflict with my own fantasy interests. My fantasy opponent's only hope was for LaDanian Tomlinson and Wes Welker to have monster games. Of course, meanwhile I find myself rooting for their success for my wagers' sakes, while hoping that they get tackled at the one so that someone else can score.
The potential for similar entanglements is definitely there in Week Two. I am starting Joe Flacco after his monster opening last week, and I also have two Ravens running backs. I also have Darren Sproles and could start him, and I am hoping to pick up Charger linebacker Stephen Cooper off of waivers. (I probably won't get to, since I have to go last, but still.) I could end up rooting for Ray Rice to get five yards up the middle, where it will be easier for Cooper to tackle him. Wierd.
There probably won't be any ganbling implications for me though, at least not when the Ravens visit San Diego. I wanted to take Baltimore if the line opened too high, but bodog isn't giving a line yet. Apparently the line opened elsewhere at Chargers by five, but has already dropped to three. As much as I like Baltimore, I want more than three when they go to the West Coast, even if the Chargers are overrated.
The Giants at Dallas also has fantasy implications, and I am more likely to get involved here. Since about the last 5 or 6 games last season I've thought the Giants were a bit overrated. In fact, I bet against them the last two times they played the Eagles. Both times I was getting points, and both times the Eagles won outright. Throw in last week's game against the Redskins, and I've been pretty down on the Giants lately.
I expected their overratedness to continue, and I figured the linemakers would make them about a 3 point favorite at Dallas. As much as I love to hate the Cowboys (with the new exception of my fantasy tight end, Jason Witten), I was very ready to get three from the Giants at home.
As it turns out, Dallas is favored by three. I figure the line ought to be somewhere between Dallas by one, and New York by one. With this line I think I have to take the Giants. Apparantly having their way with Tampa Bay's secondary is enough to get the Cowboys overrated, at least for now.
Meanwhile, this week's fantasy opponent has Brandon Jacobs. Jacobs did very little last week, but I think he could have a big day against Dallas, since their run defense isn't as good as Washington's. Jacobs' production tends to run hot-cold, since he gets relatively few yards, but lots of touchdowns. Alot of his players go up against shoddy defenses this week. Not as shoddy as the Detroit Lions, who get to entertain my Adrian Peterson, this week, but still.
Roddy White was probably my biggest disappointment form week one, and I would like to see the Falcons get him the ball more. On the other hand, they are favored by 6 against the Panthers, and probably don't deserve to be. All Carolina needs is a non-atrocious start from Jake Delhomme to cover, or perhaps kick the crap out of Atlanta. So I'm probably taking Carolina. Right now I'm waiting to see if the line goes to 6.5.
In games that don't impact me fantasy wise, New England is a four point favorite at the Jets, despite their shoddy Monday night showing. I may have to get involved here, despite pretty-boy rookie Mark Sanchez, who looked better on Sunday than he did in his GQ spread last Spring. All the buzz from people who watched the game says that the Jets defense looked scary. Unfortunately, all the highlights showed Sanchez celebrating a la Brett Favre, with a bunch of man hugs and running around with his arms in the air. So I have only second hand opinions about their scariness. On the other hand, New England looked like shit, and though Tom Brady looked Stetson model hot the whole game, his arm only heated up at the end.
I'm on record as taking the Pats to win the Super Bowl at 4-1. Is my campaign to win this $$ back on Pats losses about to begin? It might be. Oh, New York's Jericho Cotchery is in my opponent's lineup. Not sure if he starts, though. He also has Brandon Marshall, T.O., and Patrick Craton...and Kevin Curtis...and Chris Chambers. I don't think he had all these receivers yesterday....
God. I just realized my opponent has touchdown vulture Willis McGahee, who kept my Ray Rice from going over 20. I doubt he starts in front of Frank Gore or Brandon Jacobs, though. If McGahee starts it could make for some emotional red zone action. I could end up giving Stephen Cooper alot of man love if he can stuff McGahee. And I'm going for the Ravens.
The other game with no fantasy implications for me is New Orleans at Philly. With Donovan McNabb not playing, the game is a pick. The Saints go from playing one of the bottom 3 defenses to one of the top 3, as well as from the Superdome to a rather hostile road environment. Unfortunately, this game could have fantasy implications if Drew Brees gets injured. Since I met Drew last June, I'm not rooting for this--yet. By week 5 or 6 I probably will be, since I play the team that has Brees in week 7. Injury possibilities have never been so intriguing to me before...especially Frank Gore and LaDanian Tomlinson, since I have their backups.
Meanwhile, I seem to be making bets that conflict with my own fantasy interests. My fantasy opponent's only hope was for LaDanian Tomlinson and Wes Welker to have monster games. Of course, meanwhile I find myself rooting for their success for my wagers' sakes, while hoping that they get tackled at the one so that someone else can score.
The potential for similar entanglements is definitely there in Week Two. I am starting Joe Flacco after his monster opening last week, and I also have two Ravens running backs. I also have Darren Sproles and could start him, and I am hoping to pick up Charger linebacker Stephen Cooper off of waivers. (I probably won't get to, since I have to go last, but still.) I could end up rooting for Ray Rice to get five yards up the middle, where it will be easier for Cooper to tackle him. Wierd.
There probably won't be any ganbling implications for me though, at least not when the Ravens visit San Diego. I wanted to take Baltimore if the line opened too high, but bodog isn't giving a line yet. Apparently the line opened elsewhere at Chargers by five, but has already dropped to three. As much as I like Baltimore, I want more than three when they go to the West Coast, even if the Chargers are overrated.
The Giants at Dallas also has fantasy implications, and I am more likely to get involved here. Since about the last 5 or 6 games last season I've thought the Giants were a bit overrated. In fact, I bet against them the last two times they played the Eagles. Both times I was getting points, and both times the Eagles won outright. Throw in last week's game against the Redskins, and I've been pretty down on the Giants lately.
I expected their overratedness to continue, and I figured the linemakers would make them about a 3 point favorite at Dallas. As much as I love to hate the Cowboys (with the new exception of my fantasy tight end, Jason Witten), I was very ready to get three from the Giants at home.
As it turns out, Dallas is favored by three. I figure the line ought to be somewhere between Dallas by one, and New York by one. With this line I think I have to take the Giants. Apparantly having their way with Tampa Bay's secondary is enough to get the Cowboys overrated, at least for now.
Meanwhile, this week's fantasy opponent has Brandon Jacobs. Jacobs did very little last week, but I think he could have a big day against Dallas, since their run defense isn't as good as Washington's. Jacobs' production tends to run hot-cold, since he gets relatively few yards, but lots of touchdowns. Alot of his players go up against shoddy defenses this week. Not as shoddy as the Detroit Lions, who get to entertain my Adrian Peterson, this week, but still.
Roddy White was probably my biggest disappointment form week one, and I would like to see the Falcons get him the ball more. On the other hand, they are favored by 6 against the Panthers, and probably don't deserve to be. All Carolina needs is a non-atrocious start from Jake Delhomme to cover, or perhaps kick the crap out of Atlanta. So I'm probably taking Carolina. Right now I'm waiting to see if the line goes to 6.5.
In games that don't impact me fantasy wise, New England is a four point favorite at the Jets, despite their shoddy Monday night showing. I may have to get involved here, despite pretty-boy rookie Mark Sanchez, who looked better on Sunday than he did in his GQ spread last Spring. All the buzz from people who watched the game says that the Jets defense looked scary. Unfortunately, all the highlights showed Sanchez celebrating a la Brett Favre, with a bunch of man hugs and running around with his arms in the air. So I have only second hand opinions about their scariness. On the other hand, New England looked like shit, and though Tom Brady looked Stetson model hot the whole game, his arm only heated up at the end.
I'm on record as taking the Pats to win the Super Bowl at 4-1. Is my campaign to win this $$ back on Pats losses about to begin? It might be. Oh, New York's Jericho Cotchery is in my opponent's lineup. Not sure if he starts, though. He also has Brandon Marshall, T.O., and Patrick Craton...and Kevin Curtis...and Chris Chambers. I don't think he had all these receivers yesterday....
God. I just realized my opponent has touchdown vulture Willis McGahee, who kept my Ray Rice from going over 20. I doubt he starts in front of Frank Gore or Brandon Jacobs, though. If McGahee starts it could make for some emotional red zone action. I could end up giving Stephen Cooper alot of man love if he can stuff McGahee. And I'm going for the Ravens.
The other game with no fantasy implications for me is New Orleans at Philly. With Donovan McNabb not playing, the game is a pick. The Saints go from playing one of the bottom 3 defenses to one of the top 3, as well as from the Superdome to a rather hostile road environment. Unfortunately, this game could have fantasy implications if Drew Brees gets injured. Since I met Drew last June, I'm not rooting for this--yet. By week 5 or 6 I probably will be, since I play the team that has Brees in week 7. Injury possibilities have never been so intriguing to me before...especially Frank Gore and LaDanian Tomlinson, since I have their backups.
posted by roQQ | 7:52 PM
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