Johan Deal Overshadows Super Bowl
It's a few hours before the Super Bowl, and I've taken the Giants +11.5. The spread apparently started out at 13.5, but by the time I checked it it had dropped to 11. Personally, I see the Pats winning by right about 10 or 11, so this number really scared me, but 11.5 seems like just enough to take the Giants, and feel sort of safe. Not really safe, but not terrified either.
A blowout wouldn't shock me at all, but I'm envisioning a game where at the end everyone is raving about Belichek's masterful coaching putting the Pats over the top to win by 8 after leading by about 3 for most of the game. The media will go on and on about how this is the greatest team ever, while ignoring the fact that they played worse than expected again, leaving the betting public high and dry for the 8th or 9th week in a row. I came into the playoffs planning on going against the Pats each week, but was scared out of my plan by Jacksonville's 2nd half collapse against the Steelers. I recovered from this lapse, taking the Chargers +11 the next week, and would have had a good weekend if I hadn't taken the Packers -8. I've been having such a rough time of it predicting games that it's barely interesting to me to post prior to the games. But, this is the Super Bowl, so there you go. Giants(+11.5)overPats. Maybe next year I'll be able to watch some football and my handicapping will improve.
Meanwhile, now that the Mets have acquired Johan Santanna, I've taken them to win the NL pennant at 5-1. I don't quite think this is a bargain, and I'm not quite convinced that the Mets have what it takes (despite having more talent than anyone else in the NL), but by the time the season starts the Mets will be somewhere between a 2-1 or 3-1 favorite for the pennant, and about the third favorite to win the World Series, so 5-1 on the Mets will seem like a bargain in a couple of months, whether they choke in the end or not.
A blowout wouldn't shock me at all, but I'm envisioning a game where at the end everyone is raving about Belichek's masterful coaching putting the Pats over the top to win by 8 after leading by about 3 for most of the game. The media will go on and on about how this is the greatest team ever, while ignoring the fact that they played worse than expected again, leaving the betting public high and dry for the 8th or 9th week in a row. I came into the playoffs planning on going against the Pats each week, but was scared out of my plan by Jacksonville's 2nd half collapse against the Steelers. I recovered from this lapse, taking the Chargers +11 the next week, and would have had a good weekend if I hadn't taken the Packers -8. I've been having such a rough time of it predicting games that it's barely interesting to me to post prior to the games. But, this is the Super Bowl, so there you go. Giants(+11.5)overPats. Maybe next year I'll be able to watch some football and my handicapping will improve.
Meanwhile, now that the Mets have acquired Johan Santanna, I've taken them to win the NL pennant at 5-1. I don't quite think this is a bargain, and I'm not quite convinced that the Mets have what it takes (despite having more talent than anyone else in the NL), but by the time the season starts the Mets will be somewhere between a 2-1 or 3-1 favorite for the pennant, and about the third favorite to win the World Series, so 5-1 on the Mets will seem like a bargain in a couple of months, whether they choke in the end or not.
posted by roQQ | 11:08 AM
0 Comments:
Post a Comment
<< Home