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Has our hero hit rock bottom? He is hoping that his online sportsbook/poker accounts have hit bottom, but you can always go lower....They say that you have to hit rock bottom before you get help for an addiction, but if the addiction is profitable...

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Thursday, March 11, 2010

Better than Yesterday

It's still tournament time, and as I predicted, the lack of home courts has made my picks less relaible.

At least I got something right.

On the other hand, I took Wake Forest(-4)over Miami. Figured since the ACC tournament is in North Carolina this would be like a home game. If it was, it didn't matter. Miami won,
83-62.

I teased Michigan(-3)over Iowa, over 112, since I didn't turst Michigan to cover eight points. And they didn't. But the teams combined didn't score 112 either. Michigan, 59-52. Not only did Michigan fail to cover the actual spread by one, they missed the teased over by one. Lie down with dogs, you get fleas. These games finished within six minutes of each other. To say I was dismayed would be an understatement.

I salvaged some dignity, and $$, when Texas A&M beat Nebraska, 70-64. By the time I bet, the Aggies were favored by 8. Fortunately, I teased this one as well.
Texas A&M(-3)over Nebraska, over 119. While A&M needed the tease to cover, 134 points was enough to cover the actual over...or the teased under, for that matter (129). I really like the Aggies, as well as Baylor. Neither gets alot of attention. Hopefully they both stay underrated. I don't know if I want to mess with either one of them vs. Kansas or Kansas State, they ought to be worth a couple of bets in the NCAA tournament.

I parlayed Northwestern(-9)over Indiana, under 134. I like to parlay big favorites with the under, since I think many blowouts happen when the loser gets shout down offensively. I considered doing the same thing with Tennessee-LSU, but decided Tennessee scores enough to hit the over on their own, so to speak. But what do I know? That total went under easily, as the 59-49 final score was 18 shy of 126. Tennessee didn't cover anyway, as the Vols were favored by 10.

Anyway, Northwestern trailed early on, though I think they had a lead by the time I took a nap in the second half. When I woke up, the Wildcats had won, 73-58, sneaking under by 3 points. This bet paid 2.81/1.

I was awake through the entire Texas-Baylor game. This one opened as a pick, but moved a point in either direction by game time. Based on my above comments, you probably know which way I was leaning here. I was unlucky enough to get Baylor(-1)over texas. Worked out though, as the Bears pulled away in the 2nd half, 86-67.

So I actually went 3-2 on the day, and the parlay makes it a bit better than that. Brings me to 21-13 on covers, or 20-13, 1-0 on parlays. I'd rather keep that count separate, since it can't help but bring my average down.

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