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Has our hero hit rock bottom? He is hoping that his online sportsbook/poker accounts have hit bottom, but you can always go lower....They say that you have to hit rock bottom before you get help for an addiction, but if the addiction is profitable...

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Sunday, November 29, 2009

Injuries Influence Lines

My bet of the Carolina moneyline was pretty much stillborn, as the game started off with a
pick-6 form the Jets' Darrelle Revis. Jake Delhomme finally delivered the performance we'd been waiting for, 14-34 for 130 yards, with 4 interceptions. This works out to a whopping two fantasy points, or 1/4 of Eli Mannings' output this week.

I have TENNESSEE(-3)over arizona. This is one of those games that is a bit uncomfortable to bet, since I have Kurt Warner and I am playing against the team with Chris Johnson this week. On the other hand, I've benched Warner, and he isn't going to play, due to head trauma suffered last week. If I'd bet this before the Cardnails announced they would start Matt Leinert I could have got this game receiving a vig. As it is, I'm happy the line didin't move on me.

Bodog finally released the Ravens-Steelers line, a bit late, given that it's been common knowledge Roethlisberger isn't playing for a couple of days. The line is
BALTIMORE(-8.5)pittsburgh. That's enough that I'm staying away, given the recent lethargy from the Raven offense. Or is it? This game isn't until tonight, so I can still change my mind. Speaking of which, the line has dropped to 8.

I'm planning to take NEW ORLEANS(-3)over new england, though I haven't yet. Bodog refuses to move the line off 3, but the Saints are (+120) at (-3). I halfway think I should bet this, then bet again if the line drops. I like the Saints at home, and I like their running game, especially compared to the Pats' lack of a running game. The Saints should be able to run down the clock when they have a lead, whereas the Pats have already shown this is problematic for them.

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