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Has our hero hit rock bottom? He is hoping that his online sportsbook/poker accounts have hit bottom, but you can always go lower....They say that you have to hit rock bottom before you get help for an addiction, but if the addiction is profitable...

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Sunday, January 03, 2010

Week 17 Sandbagging / Eagles Jinxed

The Arkansas Razorbacks squeaked through to beat the East Carolina Pirates in overtime,
20-17, due in part to some atrocious kicking from the Pirates. Fine by me, I was getting 8 points with ECU. Won that one.

The intel I've been getting off Chad Millman's gambling blog liked the Bengals and the Pats to come out and play, despite having nothing more at stake than either the 3 or 4 seed in the AFC, so I took cincinnati(+10)over NEW YORK JETS, and
new england(+7)over HOUSTON. At this point it sounds like Carson Palmer will play about one series, and Tom Brady and Wes Welker a little more than that, so it looks like I could get burned. All I need is a couple of close losses, but we'll see what happens. There appears to be a complete disconnect between Millman's sharp sources and the media.

I took chicago(-3)over DETROIT. Any of my three readers is probably aware that I don't usually go against the Lions, however sensible it may be (or bet on them, for that matter) but now that they have an outside shot at the #1 pick, I feel like this is betting on their future. In any case, they could come out flat, and the Bears are hot right now, having put the Vikings hopes of staying indoors through the playoffs in jeopardy last Monday night. I should have bet this sooner. So many have piled on the Bears that I'm embarrassed to say how much vig I paid. Lets move on.

Baltimore needs to win to make the playoffs, but they don't need to win by 11. Oakland has a habit of winning games agaisnt good teams as well. I took
OAKLAND(+10.5)over baltimore. Am I crazy about betting against the teams of my fantasy starters, Calvin Johnson and Ray Rice? Well, they've both had monster games in losses, so what the heck.

I swore off betting on Eagles games a while ago, but since they and the Cowboys are among the only teams playing each other whose motives are clear, I couldn't stay away, even though I'm not confident here. I like the Eagles' big play capability and their defense, but I like the Cowboys' balance and their big play capabilities as well, and of course, this game is under Jerry Jones' giant scoreboard. On the other hand, the Eagles won the season finale at Dallas last year, 44-6. I've got philadelphia(+3)voer DALLAS. Will this jinx the Eagles? Probably.

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