Jan 2, 2010

After the smoke cleared from my earlier bowl wagers, I took a little break, drank heavily, and forgot to make some bets I was considering. I was iffy on taking Stanford(+7.5)over Oklahoma, because this line opened at 12 or so, but I really liked Northwestern(+8)over Auburn. Both my teams narrowly lost but covered, 31-27, and 38-35 in OT.

Meanwhile, I've recovered from my whisky and gin binge to get some bets down on the upcoming games. I have East Carolina(+8)over Arkansas. Beware drinking too deeply of the SEC Kool-Aid. I did, and I lost with Kentucky(+7)over Clemson (barely), 21-13. You may have, and may have lost with Tennessee(+4.5)over Virginia Tech. I didn't, but I should have taken VaTech, who romped, 37-14. I let the SEC scare me off.

I at least had the sense to hedge my Texas A&M - Georgia bets, teasing both of them and the over. The tease dropped the over to 60 from 66, and late scores brought the final to 44-20, Georgia, so I only lost a vig. I was sweating when there was no score halfway through the 2nd quarter, but these teams showed why the over was 66.

Anyway, East Carolina can score points in bunches, so Arkansas better keep up.

I'm staying away from Ole Miss -Oklahoma State, though I had considered taking the over. Unfortunately, I forgot. The Cotton Bowl just started, and I have nothing on it.

The Big 10(11) has yet to really embarrass themselves, unlike last year, but there is still time. I'm staying off of Michigan State(+8) Texas Tech. Tech is coachless, and State is without 14 players suspended for participating in a riot. We have a loooooooong tradition of rioting at the drop of a hat. Mark Dantonio needs to put the smack down and not let these guys play, Texas Tech be damned. We're going to lose this one anyway, what with our 103rd ranked pass defense against the perrenial top passing game in the country. I don't care what they did to Craig James' kid, or what the fallout is. DO NOT bet Michigan State here.

Meanwhile, I have taken Iowa(+4)over Georgia Tech. Both of these teams play alot of close games, so give me the points. Hopefully having a month to prepare for Tech's offense will be enough to give the Hawkeyes a fighting chance. I may take both teams and the over as well. It worked for me in the ACC championship game.

The 1st quarter of the Cotton Bowl just ended with no score. Maybe I should be glad I forgot to take the over.

I'm waiting to take Central Michigan (-3.5)over Troy. This line was 4, and I think it could drop further, once the degenerates wake up on Wednesday and realize there aren't any other games to bet.

I figure I have enough $$ on Texas from the preseason, with my 8-1 bet, what I don't need to take Texas(+4.5)over Alabama. I think it will serve Texas well to be the underdog, and I think it may motivate them that Mark Ingram won the Heisman. If Colt McCoy wins it I don't like Texas' chances.