Last Week Recap
Well, its already Friday, so I guess I'd better recap last week, so I can get into this week's picks.
Virginia Tech handled North Carolina 35-10, doubling the 12.5 point spread, and Ohio State, a 2.5 point dog, got their revenge in Austin, beating Texas 24-7. Last year I considered the game too close to call, and I think I proved to be correct. This year I figured we had more data to work with, since we have last year's result, and can adjust expectiations based on personnel changes. Last year Ohio State lost by two without Troy Smith playing quarterback. This year they have him, and Texas is without Rose Bowl MVP Vince Young. Meanwhile, OSU returns only two of their defensive starters, while Texas' "D" is more or less intact from last year, where they won a national champinship by stopping USC one time in the Second half of the Rose Bowl. In theory Texas should have had the edge on defense, but...
a) Jim Tressel is an outstanding defensive coach, who ought to have his nine new starters ready to play.
b) As you may have gathered, I'm not convinced Texas' "D" is all it's cracked up to be.
c) Even if Ohio State's defense IS vulnerable, Colt McCoy may not be the guy to exploit it. He may have looked good against North Texas, but... well, EVERYBODY looks good against North Texas. Yes, everybody is written bold and IN CAPS for a reason. And no, I haven't forgiven them for losing to Tulsa last year 54-2, as a five point favorite. I didn't even bet on this game, but it is easily the worst pick I've ever made.
d) The guy with the weed & gun charges pending just happened to be the stud corner who would have been covering Ted Ginn Jr. Ugh. Well, at least he's not going to miss the Rice game this weekend.
The irony of last weekend's game for me was that half the reason I bet on this game was so I could cover it as a handicapper, but I had no time to do so. So now I have the consolation of saying what should have been said before, when nobody is interested any longer. At least I got my pick.
Got both of my NCAA picks, in fact. After which I went 3-2 on the NFL games. Here they are. My picks are listed first, home teams in caps.
PITTSBURGH28(-4*)miami17
seattle9(-3.5)DETROIT6
NEWENGLAND19(-8.5)buffalo17
phily24(-3.5)HOUSTON10
indy26(-3)NYGIANTS21
The * is for the line change, since the Steelers became a 1.5 point dog because Charlie Batch started at QB. I usually don't bet against the Lions, but the Orangeout last year convinced me to go ahead. While they covered here, this could be habit-forming.
Virginia Tech handled North Carolina 35-10, doubling the 12.5 point spread, and Ohio State, a 2.5 point dog, got their revenge in Austin, beating Texas 24-7. Last year I considered the game too close to call, and I think I proved to be correct. This year I figured we had more data to work with, since we have last year's result, and can adjust expectiations based on personnel changes. Last year Ohio State lost by two without Troy Smith playing quarterback. This year they have him, and Texas is without Rose Bowl MVP Vince Young. Meanwhile, OSU returns only two of their defensive starters, while Texas' "D" is more or less intact from last year, where they won a national champinship by stopping USC one time in the Second half of the Rose Bowl. In theory Texas should have had the edge on defense, but...
a) Jim Tressel is an outstanding defensive coach, who ought to have his nine new starters ready to play.
b) As you may have gathered, I'm not convinced Texas' "D" is all it's cracked up to be.
c) Even if Ohio State's defense IS vulnerable, Colt McCoy may not be the guy to exploit it. He may have looked good against North Texas, but... well, EVERYBODY looks good against North Texas. Yes, everybody is written bold and IN CAPS for a reason. And no, I haven't forgiven them for losing to Tulsa last year 54-2, as a five point favorite. I didn't even bet on this game, but it is easily the worst pick I've ever made.
d) The guy with the weed & gun charges pending just happened to be the stud corner who would have been covering Ted Ginn Jr. Ugh. Well, at least he's not going to miss the Rice game this weekend.
The irony of last weekend's game for me was that half the reason I bet on this game was so I could cover it as a handicapper, but I had no time to do so. So now I have the consolation of saying what should have been said before, when nobody is interested any longer. At least I got my pick.
Got both of my NCAA picks, in fact. After which I went 3-2 on the NFL games. Here they are. My picks are listed first, home teams in caps.
PITTSBURGH28(-4*)miami17
seattle9(-3.5)DETROIT6
NEWENGLAND19(-8.5)buffalo17
phily24(-3.5)HOUSTON10
indy26(-3)NYGIANTS21
The * is for the line change, since the Steelers became a 1.5 point dog because Charlie Batch started at QB. I usually don't bet against the Lions, but the Orangeout last year convinced me to go ahead. While they covered here, this could be habit-forming.
posted by roQQ | 9:14 PM
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